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Super League
Referee: A Gamaris
Olympiakos
S U U S U
3–1
Full-time
Panetolikos
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Super League · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 52%
75%
29%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
45%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
45%
62%
Average goals
2,1
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Panetolikos 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 20 15 5 0 +22 50
2 AEK 20 12 3 5 +14 39
3 PAOK 20 12 2 6 +19 38
4 Panathinaikos 21 10 3 8 +14 33
5 Giannina 22 9 6 7 +7 33
6 Asteras Tripolis 21 9 5 7 +5 32
7 Aris Thessalonikis 19 9 5 5 +4 32
8 Aris 19 9 5 5 +4 32
9 OFI Crete 22 6 10 6 -1 28
10 Volos NFC 20 7 3 10 -7 24
11 Panetolikos 21 6 3 12 -18 21
12 Ionikos 21 5 5 11 -9 20
13 Lamia 21 4 7 10 -8 19
14 Apollon 20 1 8 11 -23 11
15 Atromitos 19 2 4 13 -23 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Panetolikos
1–0 M. Valbuena
1′
2–0 Garry Rodrigues
4′
28′
J. Morsay 2–1
T. Androutsos 🔁
↦ K. Lala
36′
37′
🟨 Elías Pereyra
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 N. Karelis
↦ N. Vergos
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ M. Valbuena
62′
62′
🔁 K. Apostolakis
↦ E. Pereyra
Tiquinho Soares 🔁
↦ Y. El-Arabi
63′
3–1 Garry Rodrigues
73′
74′
🔁 C. Belevonis
↦ Frederico Duarte
74′
🔁 Hélder Barbosa
↦ A. Tsigaras
80′
🔁 J. Une-Larsson
↦ J. Mårtensson
B. Fadiga 🔁
↦ Garry Rodrigues
89′
F. Kitsos 🔁
↦ O. Reabciuk
89′
90′
🟨 Nikolaos Karelis
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 T. Vaclík G
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
40 K. Manolas D
27 K. Lala D
45 O. Reabciuk D
28 M. Valbuena M
6 Y. M'Vila M
5 A. Bouchalakis M
22 A. Camara M
11 Y. El-Arabi F
77 Garry Rodrigues M
Bench (9)
14 T. Androutsos
19 G. Masouras
29 Tiquinho Soares
21 B. Fadiga
75 F. Kitsos
17 M. Vrousai
36 M. Kané
31 Ö. Kristinsson
24 O. Ba

Coach: Pedro Martins

Panetolikos

4-3-3
91 G. Anestis G
8 B. Lluy D
5 B. Vrgoč D
21 E. Pereyra D
17 J. Mårtensson M
4 F. Antunes M
20 D. Flores M
25 J. Morsay F
14 Frederico Duarte M
37 A. Tsigaras M
9 N. Vergos F
Bench (9)
7 N. Karelis
2 K. Apostolakis
18 C. Belevonis
10 Hélder Barbosa
16 J. Une-Larsson
47 A. Malis
23 N. Dago
45 M. Bakadimas
26 M. Pardalos

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
U
5,87
B
11,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,10
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Gamaris · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.