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Super League
Referee: D Karantonis
Panetolikos
S U T S T
1–2
Full-time
Olympiakos
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
4,3
Scored
0,8
3,8
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+3,3
This season — Super League · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 50%
13%
87%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
25%
60%
Both score Ø 39%
38%
40%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
0,5
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
6 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 13. · Olympiakos 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 15 13 2 0 +36 41
2 Aris Thessalonikis 14 10 2 2 +13 32
3 Aris 14 10 2 2 +13 32
4 PAOK 15 8 4 3 +11 28
5 AEK 14 8 3 3 +8 27
6 Panathinaikos 16 6 4 6 +2 22
7 Volos NFC 17 4 7 6 -7 19
8 Atromitos 15 4 6 5 -6 18
9 Asteras Tripolis 16 4 6 6 -6 18
10 OFI Crete 16 5 3 8 -8 18
11 Giannina 16 3 6 7 -4 15
12 Apollon 15 4 3 8 -4 15
13 Panetolikos 16 2 5 9 -11 11
14 Larisa 15 1 5 9 -18 8
15 Lamia 14 2 2 10 -19 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos Olympiakos
4′
K. Fortounis 0–1
M. Dräger
Mohammad Reza Azadi 🟨
15′
43′
🟨 Bruma
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 L. Ranđelović
↦ Bruma
46′
🔁 M. Valbuena
↦ K. Fortounis
1–1 A. Tahar
G. Ariyibi
48′
59′
🔁 M. Vrousai
↦ G. Masouras
N. Vergos 🔁
↦ M. Azadi
62′
65′
Y. El-Arabi 1–2
M. Valbuena
G. Manthatis 🔁
↦ G. Ariyibi
70′
E. Pereyra 🔁
↦ Wanderson
70′
Apostolos Konstantopoulos 🟨
80′
Dálcio 🔁
↦ P. Medina
85′
85′
🔁 T. Androutsos
↦ M. Dräger
A. Tsigaras 🔁
↦ A. Tahar
86′
93′
🔁 Koka
↦ Y. El-Arabi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Panetolikos

4-4-2
1 C. Knett G
3 Wanderson D
47 A. Malis D
2 P. Medina D
66 A. Konstantopoulos D
6 A. Tahar M
11 J. Díaz M
5 J. Arzura M
7 F. Mazurek M
8 M. Azadi F
12 G. Ariyibi M
Bench (9)
29 N. Vergos
24 G. Manthatis
21 E. Pereyra
10 Dálcio
37 A. Tsigaras
22 N. Melissas
15 J. Álvarez
27 M. Tzanakakis
92 A. Jakoliš

Coach: T. Dellas

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
21 M. Dräger D
66 P. Cissé D
45 O. Reabciuk D
24 O. Ba D
6 Y. M'Vila M
7 K. Fortounis M
19 G. Masouras M
4 Mohamed Camara M
11 Y. El-Arabi F
27 Bruma M
Bench (9)
97 L. Ranđelović
28 M. Valbuena
17 M. Vrousai
14 T. Androutsos
9 Koka
10 Pêpê Rodrigues
8 Tiago Silva
31 Ö. Kristinsson
34 A. Papadopoulos

Coach: Pedro Martins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,32
U
5,12
B ✓
1,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Karantonis · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
32,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.