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Super League
Referee: D Makkelie
AEK
U U S T T
2–3
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Super League · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 57%
44%
69%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
62%
49%
Both score Ø 57%
59%
54%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 22
5 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 5. · Olympiakos 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 39 27 8 4 +37 89
2 Panathinaikos 39 20 8 11 +30 68
3 PAOK 39 18 8 13 +20 62
4 Aris 36 18 8 10 +11 62
5 AEK 39 17 8 14 +13 59
6 Aris Thessalonikis 35 17 8 10 +8 59
7 Giannina 39 14 11 14 -1 53
8 Ionikos 35 13 9 13 +2 48
9 OFI Crete 35 11 13 11 -5 46
10 Volos NFC 35 11 10 14 +0 43
11 Asteras Tripolis 35 11 8 16 -7 41
12 Panetolikos 35 10 7 18 -22 37
13 Atromitos 35 8 9 18 -24 33
14 Lamia 35 6 9 20 -21 27
15 Apollon 35 4 12 19 -41 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Olympiakos
1–0 S. Zuber
L. Garcia
14′
20′
Y. El-Arabi 1–1
Damien Le Tallec 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–1
Y. Shakhov 🔁
↦ G. Krychowiak
46′
46′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ K. Fortounis
2–1 L. Garcia
E. Hajsafi
48′
G. Kornezos 🔁
↦ G. Mitoglou
53′
58′
🟨 Giorgos Masouras
64′
🔁 Rony Lopes
↦ M. Vrousai
69′
Y. El-Arabi 2–2
M. Mitaj 🔁
↦ M. Mohammadi
78′
L. Rota 🔁
↦ E. Svarnas
78′
79′
🔁 João Carvalho
↦ M. Valbuena
80′
🔁 M. Kané
↦ A. Bouchalakis
Clément Michelin 🟨
82′
G. Moustakopoulos 🔁
↦ L. Garcia
83′
87′
Y. El-Arabi 2–3
P. Cissé
90′
🔁 I. Karargyris
↦ Ö. Kristinsson
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

AEK

3-4-3
23 C. Stanković goalkeeper
19 C. Michelin right_wing
5 E. Svarnas central_de
3 M. Mohammadi left_winge
24 G. Mitoglou central_de
26 E. Hajsafi central_mi
6 D. Le Tallec central_de
17 S. Zuber striker
16 G. Krychowiak central_mi
22 M. Tankovic striker
9 L. Garcia striker
Bench (9)
28 Y. Shakhov
63 G. Kornezos
40 M. Mitaj
12 L. Rota
80 G. Moustakopoulos
25 K. Galanopoulos
10 K. Ansarifard
35 M. Kosidis
1 P. Tsintotas

Coach: S. Ofridopoulos

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
31 Ö. Kristinsson goalkeeper
66 P. Cissé central_de
24 O. Ba central_de
28 M. Valbuena left_winge
53 K. Fortounis central_mi
5 A. Bouchalakis central_mi
8 P. Kunde central_mi
14 T. Androutsos right_back
75 F. Kitsos left_back
11 Y. El-Arabi striker
17 M. Vrousai right_wing
Bench (9)
19 G. Masouras
10 Rony Lopes
20 João Carvalho
36 M. Kané
44 I. Karargyris
41 P. Bagalianis
22 A. Camara
90 V. Sourlis
29 Tiquinho Soares

Coach: Pedro Martins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,23
U
3,29
B ✓
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,84
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.