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Super League

Referee: Fábio Veríssimo

AEK

S S S S U

2–3

Full-time

Olympiakos

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Olympiakos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,0

This season — Super League · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 74%

70%

78%

Points per game

2,3

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

80%

56%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

56%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,1

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 1. · Olympiakos 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	10	7	2	1	+11	23
2	Olympiakos	9	7	2	0	+10	23
3	Giannina	11	5	4	2	+13	19
4	PAOK	9	6	1	2	+9	19
5	Aris Thessalonikis	10	5	2	3	+2	17
6	Aris	10	5	2	3	+2	17
7	OFI Crete	11	3	7	1	+3	16
8	Volos NFC	11	4	2	5	-3	14
9	Ionikos	11	3	4	4	-4	13
10	Panathinaikos	10	3	2	5	+5	11
11	Asteras Tripolis	10	2	4	4	-3	10
12	Lamia	10	2	3	5	-3	9
13	Panetolikos	11	2	2	7	-14	8
14	Apollon	11	1	4	6	-13	7
15	Atromitos	10	0	3	7	-15	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Olympiakos	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Panathinaikos	5	3	1	1	+9	10
4	Ionikos	6	2	3	1	+1	9
5	Volos NFC	7	3	0	4	-1	9
6	Giannina	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Aris Thessalonikis	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Aris	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	PAOK	4	2	1	1	+4	7
10	OFI Crete	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Apollon	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Panetolikos	6	1	1	4	-4	4
13	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Lamia	5	0	2	3	-3	2
15	Atromitos	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	5	4	0	1	+5	12
2	Olympiakos	4	4	0	0	+5	12
3	Giannina	6	3	2	1	+10	11
4	OFI Crete	6	2	4	0	+3	10
5	Aris Thessalonikis	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	Aris	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	AEK	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Asteras Tripolis	6	1	4	1	+0	7
9	Lamia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Volos NFC	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Ionikos	5	1	1	3	-5	4
12	Panetolikos	5	1	1	3	-10	4
13	Atromitos	5	0	2	3	-8	2
14	Apollon	6	0	2	4	-11	2
15	Panathinaikos	5	0	1	4	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.