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Super League
Referee: S Jovanović
AEK
U U S T T
1–5
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
This season — Super League · 29/30 matches
Win Ø 66%
52%
80%
Points per game
1,8
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
45%
57%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
47%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

41% Possession 59%
6 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 6. · Olympiakos 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 30 24 5 1 +54 77
2 Aris Thessalonikis 28 16 6 6 +19 54
3 Aris 28 16 6 6 +19 54
4 Panathinaikos 30 15 7 8 +14 52
5 PAOK 30 14 9 7 +21 51
6 AEK 29 15 6 8 +9 51
7 Asteras Tripolis 31 12 10 9 -2 46
8 Giannina 30 9 9 12 -3 36
9 Volos NFC 30 8 11 11 -9 35
10 Atromitos 30 6 12 12 -15 30
11 Lamia 30 7 9 14 -21 30
12 Apollon 30 8 5 17 -13 29
13 OFI Crete 30 6 5 19 -24 23
14 Panetolikos 30 4 10 16 -23 22
15 Larisa 30 4 8 18 -26 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Olympiakos
17′
Mohamed Camara 0–1
Y. El-Arabi
23′
G. Masouras 0–2
J. Holebas
35′
Y. El-Arabi 0–3
36′
🟨 Bruma
44′
G. Masouras 0–4
Y. El-Arabi
Nelson Oliveira 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–4
C. Albanis 🔁
↦ M. Tankovic
46′
K. Ansarifard 🔁
↦ D. Szymański
46′
58′
🔁 K. Fortounis
↦ Bruma
63′
🔁 A. Bouchalakis
↦ Mohamed Camara
K. Galanopoulos 🔁
↦ P. Mandalos
64′
I. Nedelcearu 🔁
↦ N. Hnid
64′
64′
🔁 Koka
↦ Y. El-Arabi
74′
K. Fortounis 0–5
J. Holebas
76′
🔁 M. Dräger
↦ J. Holebas
76′
🔁 L. Ranđelović
↦ G. Masouras
T. Macheras 🔁
↦ L. Garcia
79′
1–5 K. Ansarifard
88′
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
30 G. Athanasiadis G
3 Hélder Lopes D
33 O. Danchenko M
24 E. Svarnas D
26 N. Hnid D
6 N. Krstičić M
20 P. Mandalos M
4 D. Szymański M
18 Nélson Oliveira F
17 M. Tankovic M
9 L. Garcia F
Bench (9)
14 C. Albanis
11 K. Ansarifard
25 K. Galanopoulos
5 I. Nedelcearu
53 T. Macheras
88 S. Vasilantonopoulos
35 M. Kosidis
40 M. Mitaj
1 P. Tsintotas

Coach: Manolo Jiménez

Olympiakos

3-4-3
1 José Sá G
25 J. Holebas D
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
3 Rúben Semedo D
24 O. Ba D
6 Y. M'Vila M
19 G. Masouras M
14 T. Androutsos D
4 Mohamed Camara M
11 Y. El-Arabi F
27 Bruma M
Bench (9)
7 K. Fortounis
5 A. Bouchalakis
9 Koka
21 M. Dräger
97 L. Ranđelović
88 K. Tzolakis
17 M. Vrousai
8 Tiago Silva
20 H. Cuypers

Coach: Pedro Martins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,06
U
3,22
B ✓
2,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Jovanović · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.