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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Hearts
T U U S U
2–3
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 21%
13%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
46%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

15 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 5
12 Corners 6
15 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hearts 11. · Kilmarnock 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 24 21 1 2 +53 64
2 Rangers 23 18 3 2 +44 57
3 Motherwell 24 13 2 9 +6 41
4 Aberdeen 24 10 8 6 +3 38
5 Livingston 25 9 7 9 +3 34
6 Hibernian 24 7 9 8 -6 30
7 Kilmarnock 24 7 5 12 -8 26
8 Ross County 25 6 7 12 -25 25
9 ST Johnstone 23 5 9 9 -21 24
10 St Mirren 24 5 6 13 -13 21
11 Hearts 24 3 9 12 -16 18
12 Hamilton 24 4 6 14 -20 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Nov -19 Kilmarnock – Hearts 3–0 5. Oct -19 Hearts – Kilmarnock 0–1

Match report

Hearts Kilmarnock
24′
⚽ S. Findlay 0–1
Sean Clare 🟨
35′
38′
⚽ C. Burke 0–2
E. Brophy
Half-time 0–2
John Souttar 🟨
48′
50′
⚽ E. Brophy 0–3
S. O'Donnell
52′
🟨 Alan Power
U. Ikpeazu 🔁
↦ M. Langer
52′
C. Washington 🔁
↦ E. Henderson
62′
Steven Naismith 🟨
65′
66′
🔁 K. Broadfoot
↦ S. Findlay
J. Walker 🔁
↦ L. Moore
68′
74′
🔁 G. Kiltie
↦ E. Brophy
78′
🟨 Laurențiu Brănescu
1–3 S. Clare ⚽
79′
80′
🟨 Laurențiu Brănescu
80′
🟥 Laurențiu Brănescu
80′
🔁 J. Koprivec
↦ R. McKenzie
Andy Irving 🟨
86′
2–3 C. Halkett ⚽
J. Walker
89′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
23 Joel Castro G
3 A. White M
4 J. Souttar D
26 C. Halkett D
32 M. Langer
8 S. Clare M
27 L. Moore M
40 A. Irving M
14 S. Naismith M
29 L. Boyce F
41 E. Henderson F
Bench (7)
19 U. Ikpeazu
9 C. Washington
10 J. Walker
77 R. Meshino
1 Z. Zlamal
28 C. Dikamona
7 O. Bozanić

Coach: D. Stendel

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
12 L. Brănescu G
2 S. O'Donnell D
17 S. Findlay D
26 D. Del Fabro D
14 N. Hamalainen D
29 C. Burke M
6 A. Power M
8 G. Dicker M
7 R. McKenzie F
9 E. Brophy F
27 N. Kabamba F
Bench (7)
19 K. Broadfoot
10 G. Kiltie
24 J. Koprivec
52 K. Connell
25 H. St Clair
22 R. Millen
33 A. Taylor

Coach: A. Dyer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,00
🔒
U
3,33
🔒
B ✓
3,73
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,18
🔒
U2,5
1,66
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.