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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Kilmarnock
T T T T T
1–3
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,2
2,7
Scored
0,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,0
This season — Premiership · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 57%
29%
85%
Points per game
1,1
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
43%
60%
Both score Ø 37%
29%
45%
Average goals
2,0
3,4
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
3 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 7. · Celtic 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 20 17 1 2 +42 52
2 Rangers 19 16 2 1 +42 50
3 Motherwell 21 12 1 8 +6 37
4 Aberdeen 21 10 6 5 +4 36
5 Livingston 22 7 7 8 +2 28
6 Hibernian 21 6 7 8 -7 25
7 Kilmarnock 21 6 5 10 -7 23
8 Ross County 20 5 6 9 -20 21
9 ST Johnstone 20 4 8 8 -19 20
10 St Mirren 21 5 4 12 -12 19
11 Hamilton 21 4 6 11 -14 18
12 Hearts 21 2 7 12 -17 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Sep -19 Celtic – Kilmarnock 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,36
U
5,17
B ✓
1,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.