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Premiership

Referee: B Madden

Kilmarnock

S S T T U

3–0

Full-time

Hearts

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Premiership · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 28%

38%

17%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

46%

50%

Both score Ø 48%

38%

58%

Average goals

2,1

2,7

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

9 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 6

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 5. · Hearts 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	12	10	1	1	+29	31
2	Rangers	12	10	1	1	+28	31
3	Aberdeen	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Motherwell	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Kilmarnock	13	5	3	5	-3	18
6	Ross County	13	3	5	5	-13	14
7	Livingston	13	3	4	6	-3	13
8	Hibernian	12	2	6	4	-7	12
9	Hearts	12	2	5	5	-2	11
10	Hamilton	13	2	5	6	-10	11
11	ST Johnstone	12	2	4	6	-16	10
12	St Mirren	12	2	2	8	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	6	6	0	0	+21	18
2	Rangers	6	5	0	1	+16	15
3	Kilmarnock	7	3	3	1	+3	12
4	Motherwell	7	4	0	3	+0	12
5	Aberdeen	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	St Mirren	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Hamilton	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	Livingston	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Hibernian	6	1	4	1	+0	7
10	Ross County	6	2	1	3	-5	7
11	ST Johnstone	7	2	1	4	-7	7
12	Hearts	6	1	3	2	+1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	6	5	1	0	+12	16
2	Celtic	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Aberdeen	7	4	1	2	+2	13
4	Motherwell	6	3	1	2	+1	10
5	Ross County	7	1	4	2	-8	7
6	Kilmarnock	6	2	0	4	-6	6
7	Livingston	7	1	2	4	-2	5
8	Hearts	6	1	2	3	-3	5
9	Hibernian	6	1	2	3	-7	5
10	Hamilton	6	0	3	3	-9	3
11	ST Johnstone	5	0	3	2	-9	3
12	St Mirren	7	0	0	7	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.