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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
St Mirren
T S U T T
1–2
Full-time
Celtic
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,7
Scored
0,5
3,3
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+3,0
This season — Premiership · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 57%
33%
80%
Points per game
1,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
33%
60%
Both score Ø 29%
17%
40%
Average goals
1,8
3,4
Scored
0,5
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+2,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

23% Possession 77%
8 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 0
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 7. · Celtic 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 7 6 1 0 +15 19
2 Hibernian 7 5 1 1 +8 16
3 Celtic 5 4 1 0 +13 13
4 Aberdeen 5 4 0 1 +3 12
5 Ross County 7 2 2 3 -5 8
6 ST Johnstone 7 2 1 4 -4 7
7 St Mirren 6 2 1 3 -5 7
8 Dundee United 7 2 1 4 -8 7
9 Hamilton 6 2 0 4 -6 6
10 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 -1 5
11 Livingston 7 1 2 4 -5 5
12 Motherwell 7 1 2 4 -5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Celtic
1–0 L. Erwin
J. Shaughnessy
3′
21′
S. Duffy 1–1
R. Christie
Marcus Fraser 🟨
34′
36′
J. Forrest 1–2
R. Christie
45′
🟨 Scott Brown
Half-time 1–2
K. McAllister 🔁
↦ D. Connolly
64′
66′
🔁 A. Ajeti
↦ P. Klimala
J. Obika 🔁
↦ J. Morias
79′
80′
🔁 J. Frimpong
↦ J. Forrest
80′
🔁 O. Ntcham
↦ O. Édouard
Ethan Erhahon 🟨
82′
Richard Tait 🟨
86′
Í. Durmuş 🔁
↦ S. Foley
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Mirren

4-1-4-1
29 Z. Zlámal G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
16 S. Foley M
21 D. Connolly M
17 J. McGrath M
25 E. Erhahon M
23 L. Erwin F
19 J. Morias M
Bench (7)
10 K. McAllister
9 J. Obika
11 Í. Durmuş
14 C. MacPherson
33 L. Jamieson
6 N. Sheron
27 P. Urminský

Coach: J. Goodwin

Celtic

3-5-2
1 V. Barkas G
4 S. Duffy D
44 H. Elhamed D
35 K. Ajer D
3 G. Taylor M
8 S. Brown M
49 J. Forrest M
42 C. McGregor M
17 R. Christie M
22 O. Édouard F
11 P. Klimala F
Bench (9)
10 A. Ajeti
30 J. Frimpong
21 O. Ntcham
29 S. Bain
2 C. Jullien
14 D. Turnbull
12 I. Soro
6 N. Bitton
27 M. Elyounoussi

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
15,32
U
7,25
B ✓
1,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,47
U2,5
2,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.