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Premiership
Referee: G Duncan
Celtic
S S S S U
5–0
Full-time
St Mirren
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,0
Scored
3,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 29/28 matches
Win Ø 54%
86%
21%
Points per game
2,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
72%
43%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
43%
Average goals
3,6
2,1
Scored
2,9
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

19 Shots 8
16 Shots on target 4
10 Corners 1
9 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · St Mirren 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 29 25 2 2 +65 77
2 Rangers 28 20 4 4 +44 64
3 Motherwell 29 14 3 12 +3 45
4 Aberdeen 29 11 9 9 +2 42
5 Livingston 30 10 9 11 +2 39
6 Hibernian 29 9 10 10 -5 37
7 ST Johnstone 29 8 12 9 -18 36
8 Kilmarnock 29 9 6 14 -9 33
9 Ross County 29 7 8 14 -30 29
10 St Mirren 28 6 8 14 -13 26
11 Hamilton 29 5 9 15 -21 24
12 Hearts 28 4 10 14 -20 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic St Mirren
1–0 L. Griffiths
O. Édouard
18′
2–0 L. Griffiths
T. Rogić
44′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 O. Édouard
L. Griffiths
54′
60′
🟨 Jamie McGrath
63′
🔁 A. Jakubiak
↦ J. Morias
69′
🔁 S. Chabbi
↦ J. Obika
R. Christie 🔁
↦ T. Rogić
73′
4–0 L. Griffiths
J. Forrest
74′
Scott Brown 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 Anthony Andreu
75′
🔁 K. McAllister
↦ J. McGrath
M. Elyounoussi 🔁
↦ O. Édouard
76′
H. Elhamed 🔁
↦ K. Ajer
81′
5–0 C. McGregor
90′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Celtic

3-4-1-2
67 F. Forster G
2 C. Jullien D
35 K. Ajer D
3 G. Taylor D
8 S. Brown M
6 N. Bitton D
49 J. Forrest M
42 C. McGregor M
18 T. Rogić M
9 L. Griffiths F
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (7)
17 R. Christie
27 M. Elyounoussi
33 H. Elhamed
10 V. Bayo
1 C. Gordon
30 J. Frimpong
15 J. Hayes

Coach: N. Lennon

St Mirren

4-4-2
1 V. Hladký G
2 L. Hodson D
3 C. Waters D
5 C. McCarthy D
22 A. Famewo D
16 S. Foley M
10 T. Andreu M
17 J. McGrath M
24 C. MacPherson D
9 J. Obika F
19 J. Morias F
Bench (7)
28 A. Jakubiak
21 S. Chabbi
14 K. McAllister
11 Í. Durmuş
18 D. Mullen
26 D. Lyness
29 R. Wallace

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,13
U
8,19
B
18,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,41
U2,5
2,83
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Duncan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.