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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Paris SG

U S S T T

1–0

Full-time

Metz

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

4,5

1,3

Scored

2,7

0,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%

20 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 18. · Metz 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Lille	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Montpellier	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Nice	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Lens	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Angers	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Lyon	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Nimes	3	1	0	2	+1	3
14	Lorient	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Brest	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Reims	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Metz	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Paris SG	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Strasbourg	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Lille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Angers	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Bordeaux	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Brest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Nice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Brest	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Reims	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.