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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Livingston
U U T T T
1–0
Full-time
Hibernian
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 26%
19%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
44%
53%
Both score Ø 43%
38%
47%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Livingston 11. · Hibernian 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 16 12 3 1 +22 39
2 Celtic 16 11 2 3 +26 35
3 Hearts 17 8 6 3 +11 30
4 Dundee United 17 7 4 6 -3 25
5 Motherwell 17 7 4 6 -4 25
6 Aberdeen 17 6 3 8 +0 21
7 Hibernian 15 5 4 6 -1 19
8 St Mirren 17 3 8 6 -11 17
9 Dundee 16 4 4 8 -15 16
10 ST Johnstone 15 3 5 7 -6 14
11 Livingston 16 3 4 9 -11 13
12 Ross County 15 2 5 8 -8 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Aug -21 Hibernian – Livingston 2–0 21. Apr -21 Hibernian – Livingston 2–1 20. Mar -21 Livingston – Hibernian 1–1 2. Jan -21 Hibernian – Livingston 0–3 8. Aug -20 Livingston – Hibernian 1–4

Match report

Livingston Hibernian
1–0 J. McMillan ⚽
A. Shinnie
16′
Max Stryjek 🟨
17′
36′
🟨 Paul McGinn
Half-time 1–0
A. Obileye 🔁
↦ T. Parkes
46′
46′
🔁 C. Doidge
↦ J. Campbell
46′
🔁 S. Allan
↦ J. Murphy
Stephane Omeonga 🟨
49′
James Penrice 🟨
50′
55′
🟨 Jake Doyle Hayes
C. Montaño 🔁
↦ C. Sibbald
59′
61′
🟨 Paul Hanlon
S. Pittman 🔁
↦ J. McMillan
67′
82′
🔁 D. McGregor
↦ R. Porteous
85′
🟨 Paul McGinn
85′
🟥 Paul McGinn
89′
🟨 Paul Hanlon
89′
🟥 Paul Hanlon
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Livingston

4-3-3
32 M. Stryjek G
4 T. Parkes D
2 N. Devlin D
21 J. McMillan M
5 J. Fitzwater D
29 J. Penrice D
18 J. Holt M
10 C. Sibbald F
17 A. Forrest F
33 S. Oméonga M
22 A. Shinnie F
Bench (7)
6 A. Obileye
11 C. Montaño
8 S. Pittman
36 G. Maley
15 H. Panayiotou
24 S. Kelly
9 B. Anderson

Coach: D. Martindale

Hibernian

4-4-1-1
1 M. Macey G
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
5 R. Porteous D
3 J. Doig D
18 J. Murphy M
10 M. Boyle M
11 J. Newell M
22 J. Doyle-Hayes M
32 J. Campbell F
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (7)
9 C. Doidge
23 S. Allan
24 D. McGregor
16 L. Stevenson
13 A. Gogić
25 J. Scott
21 M. Dąbrowski

Coach: J. Ross

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,36
🔒
U
3,16
🔒
B
2,24
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,23
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,64
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.