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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
Hibernian
T T S U T
2–1
Full-time
Livingston
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 41%
47%
35%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
41%
50%
Both score Ø 43%
35%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 3. · Livingston 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 34 29 5 0 +69 92
2 Celtic 34 21 9 4 +48 72
3 Hibernian 34 16 8 10 +12 56
4 Aberdeen 34 14 10 10 +2 52
5 Livingston 34 12 8 14 -7 44
6 Dundee United 34 10 12 12 -13 42
7 ST Johnstone 34 10 10 14 -7 40
8 St Mirren 34 10 10 14 -9 40
9 Motherwell 34 10 8 16 -18 38
10 Ross County 34 8 6 20 -33 30
11 Kilmarnock 34 8 5 21 -14 29
12 Hamilton 34 6 9 19 -30 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Livingston
1–0 K. Nisbet
M. Boyle
8′
24′
🟨 Jason Holt
2–0 M. Boyle
26′
28′
🔁 J. McMillan
↦ J. Longridge
Jackson Irvine 🟨
32′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🟨 Nicky Devlin
46′
🔁 A. Forrest
↦ E. Ambrose
57′
🟨 Alan Forrest
67′
🔁 M. Poplatnik
↦ J. Mullin
Joe Newell 🟨
76′
D. Wright 🔁
↦ C. Doidge
76′
Alexander Gogić 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 D. Diani
↦ C. Sibbald
K. Magennis 🔁
↦ J. Newell
84′
85′
J. Emmanuel-Thomas 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-4-2
1 O. Marciano G
16 L. Stevenson D
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
13 A. Gogić M
5 R. Porteous D
10 M. Boyle M
11 J. Newell M
36 J. Irvine M
9 C. Doidge F
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (7)
8 D. Wright
7 K. Magennis
33 M. Macey
24 D. McGregor
20 M. Hallberg
2 D. Gray
43 S. Bradley

Coach: J. Ross

Livingston

5-4-1
32 M. Stryjek G
4 A. Lithgow D
25 E. Ambrose D
2 N. Devlin D
23 J. Longridge D
27 J. Guthrie D
14 J. Mullin M
18 J. Holt M
10 C. Sibbald M
9 J. Emmanuel-Thomas F
8 S. Pittman M
Bench (9)
21 J. McMillan
11 A. Forrest
15 M. Poplatnik
28 D. Diani
6 M. Bartley
5 J. Fitzwater
37 J. Kabia
1 R. McCrorie
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,44
B
3,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.