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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Livingston
S S U U U
1–3
Full-time
Rangers
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,2
4,2
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — Premiership · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
23%
69%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
46%
62%
Both score Ø 54%
38%
69%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

29% Possession 71%
7 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
5 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 10. · Rangers 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 13 9 3 1 +16 30
2 Hearts 15 7 6 2 +11 27
3 Celtic 13 8 2 3 +21 26
4 Dundee United 15 7 4 4 +1 25
5 Motherwell 15 6 3 6 -5 21
6 Hibernian 13 5 3 5 +0 18
7 St Mirren 15 3 7 5 -8 16
8 Aberdeen 14 4 3 7 -4 15
9 ST Johnstone 14 3 5 6 -5 14
10 Livingston 13 3 4 6 -6 13
11 Dundee 14 3 4 7 -13 13
12 Ross County 14 2 4 8 -8 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Rangers
8′
S. Arfield 0–1
J. Tavernier
9′
🟨 Scott Arfield
16′
J. Ayodele-Aribo 0–2
A. Morelos
1–2 B. Anderson
30′
Alan Forrest 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–2
Nicky Devlin 🟨
46′
A. Shinnie 🔁
↦ B. Anderson
59′
J. Penrice 🔁
↦ J. McMillan
59′
Stephane Omeonga 🟨
69′
73′
🔁 N. Patterson
↦ I. Hagi
73′
🔁 F. Sakala
↦ R. Kent
78′
F. Sakala 1–3
J. Tavernier
J. Kabia 🔁
↦ O. Bailey
80′
92′
🔁 J. Defoe
↦ A. Morelos
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Livingston

3-4-2-1
32 M. Stryjek G
4 T. Parkes D
2 N. Devlin D
11 C. Montaño F
21 J. McMillan M
5 J. Fitzwater D
18 J. Holt M
17 A. Forrest M
33 S. Oméonga M
14 O. Bailey F
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (7)
22 A. Shinnie
29 J. Penrice
37 J. Kabia
36 G. Maley
10 C. Sibbald
15 H. Panayiotou
3 J. Longridge

Coach: D. Martindale

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 A. McGregor G
2 J. Tavernier D
6 C. Goldson D
31 B. Barišić D
3 C. Bassey D
37 S. Arfield M
18 G. Kamara M
17 J. Ayodele-Aribo M
7 I. Hagi M
20 A. Morelos F
14 R. Kent M
Bench (7)
16 N. Patterson
30 F. Sakala
9 J. Defoe
10 S. Davis
23 S. Wright
4 J. Lundstram
33 J. McLaughlin

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,75
U
4,92
B ✓
1,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,03
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.