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Premiership

Referee: D McFarlane

Hibernian

T S T U S

2–0

Full-time

Aberdeen

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Aberdeen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 19/18 matches

Win Ø 38%

37%

39%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

58%

33%

Both score Ø 46%

53%

39%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

20 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hibernian 5. · Aberdeen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	19	12	5	2	+21	+7.4	41
2	Celtic	18	12	2	4	+17	+8.4	38
3	Rangers	18	8	8	2	+10	+3.5	32
4	Motherwell	19	7	9	3	+10	+5.6	30
5	Hibernian	19	7	7	5	+9	-0.1	28
6	Aberdeen	18	7	4	7	-1	-4.8	25
7	Falkirk	19	6	6	7	-7	-1.1	24
8	Dundee United	19	4	10	5	-3	-4.3	22
9	St Mirren	17	4	6	7	-7	+3.6	18
10	Dundee	19	4	4	11	-16	-8.1	16
11	Kilmarnock	19	2	7	10	-16	-6.4	13
12	Livingston	18	1	6	11	-17	-3.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	9	7	1	1	+15	+7.0	22
2	Hearts	9	6	3	0	+13	+3.1	21
3	Motherwell	9	5	3	1	+9	+7.0	18
4	Rangers	9	4	4	1	+3	+5.6	16
5	Hibernian	9	4	3	2	+8	+2.7	15
6	Aberdeen	10	3	4	3	+2	-3.4	13
7	Dundee United	10	3	4	3	-1	-1.7	13
8	St Mirren	10	3	4	3	-1	+4.8	13
9	Dundee	9	4	1	4	-2	-2.4	13
10	Falkirk	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.1	11
11	Kilmarnock	10	1	3	6	-9	-1.1	6
12	Livingston	8	1	2	5	-4	+0.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	10	6	2	2	+8	+4.3	20
2	Rangers	9	4	4	1	+7	-2.2	16
3	Celtic	9	5	1	3	+2	+1.3	16
4	Hibernian	10	3	4	3	+1	-2.8	13
5	Falkirk	10	4	1	5	-7	-2.2	13
6	Motherwell	10	2	6	2	+1	-1.4	12
7	Aberdeen	8	4	0	4	-3	-1.4	12
8	Dundee United	9	1	6	2	-2	-2.6	9
9	Kilmarnock	9	1	4	4	-7	-5.3	7
10	St Mirren	7	1	2	4	-6	-1.2	5
11	Livingston	10	0	4	6	-13	-3.8	4
12	Dundee	10	0	3	7	-14	-5.7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.