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Premiership

Referee: M MacDermid

Hibernian

U S S T T

3–0

Full-time

Falkirk

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Falkirk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

60%

67%

Both score Ø 57%

53%

60%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,06 xG 1,15

42% Possession 58%

10 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hibernian 5. · Falkirk 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	15	9	5	1	+18	+5.4	32
2	Celtic	14	10	2	2	+15	+3.6	32
3	Motherwell	15	5	8	2	+7	+5.1	23
4	Rangers	14	5	8	1	+6	-0.4	23
5	Hibernian	15	5	6	4	+6	+0.8	21
6	Falkirk	15	5	6	4	-2	+0.5	21
7	Aberdeen	14	5	3	6	-2	-3.4	18
8	Dundee United	14	3	7	4	-2	-1.9	16
9	Kilmarnock	15	2	6	7	-11	-3.8	12
10	Dundee	15	3	3	9	-14	-6.7	12
11	St Mirren	14	2	5	7	-10	-1.2	11
12	Livingston	14	1	5	8	-11	+1.9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	7	6	1	0	+14	+4.1	19
2	Hearts	8	5	3	0	+12	+2.6	18
3	Motherwell	7	3	3	1	+5	+3.9	12
4	Falkirk	8	2	5	1	+2	+1.8	11
5	Rangers	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.8	10
6	Dundee	7	3	1	3	-1	-2.2	10
7	Hibernian	7	2	3	2	+4	+2.8	9
8	Aberdeen	8	2	3	3	+1	-3.9	9
9	Dundee United	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.3	8
10	St Mirren	7	1	3	3	-4	+0.0	6
11	Kilmarnock	8	1	3	4	-5	+0.1	6
12	Livingston	6	1	1	4	-2	+2.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	7	4	2	1	+6	+2.8	14
2	Rangers	7	3	4	0	+5	-2.2	13
3	Celtic	7	4	1	2	+1	-0.5	13
4	Hibernian	8	3	3	2	+2	-2.0	12
5	Motherwell	8	2	5	1	+2	+1.2	11
6	Falkirk	7	3	1	3	-4	-1.3	10
7	Aberdeen	6	3	0	3	-3	+0.5	9
8	Dundee United	7	1	5	1	+0	-0.6	8
9	Kilmarnock	7	1	3	3	-6	-3.8	6
10	St Mirren	7	1	2	4	-6	-1.2	5
11	Livingston	8	0	4	4	-9	-0.4	4
12	Dundee	8	0	2	6	-13	-4.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.