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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Aberdeen
U U S S U
1–0
Full-time
Hibernian
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 42%
42%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
61%
58%
Both score Ø 60%
58%
61%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 5
5 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 4. · Hibernian 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 34 27 3 4 +80 84
2 Rangers 33 20 6 7 +33 66
3 Hibernian 33 14 11 8 +13 53
4 Aberdeen 33 14 8 11 -4 50
5 Dundee United 34 14 8 12 -4 50
6 St Mirren 33 12 5 16 -9 41
7 Hearts 33 11 7 15 -1 40
8 Motherwell 33 11 6 16 -19 39
9 Kilmarnock 33 9 8 16 -20 35
10 Ross County 33 9 8 16 -23 35
11 Dundee 33 9 7 17 -21 34
12 ST Johnstone 33 8 5 20 -25 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Feb -25 Hibernian – Aberdeen 2–0 21. Dec -24 Aberdeen – Hibernian 1–3 26. Nov -24 Hibernian – Aberdeen 3–3 12. May -24 Hibernian – Aberdeen 0–4 17. Feb -24 Aberdeen – Hibernian 2–2

Match report

Aberdeen Hibernian
Ante Palaversa 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
J. Okkels 🔁
↦ S. Morris
57′
J. McGrath 🔁
↦ P. Guèye
57′
61′
🔁 D. Gayle
↦ K. Bowie
Topi Keskinen 🟨
63′
70′
🔁 N. Cadden
↦ D. Levitt
Oday Dabbagh 🔁
↦ T. Keskinen
74′
D. Polvara 🔁
↦ A. Palaversa
74′
1–0 K. Nisbet ⚽
80′
83′
🟨 Jack Iredale
84′
🔁 M. Kuharevich
↦ C. Cadden
84′
🔁 J. Hoilett
↦ J. Iredale
87′
🟨 Mykola Kukharevych
Dante Polvara 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov G
28 A. Jensen D
26 A. Dorrington D
5 M. Knoester D
4 G. Shinnie D
18 A. Palaversa M
10 L. Clarkson M
20 S. Morris M
14 P. Guèye M
81 T. Keskinen M
9 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
16 J. Okkels
7 J. McGrath
11 Oday Dabbagh
8 D. Polvara
22 J. Milne
31 R. Doohan
2 N. Devlin
3 J. MacKenzie
30 F. Boyd

Coach: J. Thelin

Hibernian

3-5-2
13 J. Smith G
5 W. O'Hora D
33 R. Bushiri D
15 J. Iredale D
12 C. Cadden M
6 D. Levitt M
26 N. Triantis M
32 J. Campbell M
21 J. Obita M
10 M. Boyle F
20 K. Bowie F
Bench (9)
34 D. Gayle
19 N. Cadden
99 M. Kuharevich
23 J. Hoilett
8 A. Manneh
1 J. Bursik
22 N. Moriah-Welsh
42 R. Whittaker
4 M. Ekpiteta

Coach: D. Gray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,35
🔒
U
3,39
🔒
B
2,93
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,85
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,94
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.