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Premiership

Referee: C Steven

Hibernian

S S U T U

3–2

Full-time

Dundee United

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Dundee United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 24/23 matches

Win Ø 30%

38%

22%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

54%

48%

Both score Ø 56%

54%

57%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,34 xG 1,34

50% Possession 50%

20 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 9

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hibernian 5. · Dundee United 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	25	16	6	3	+27	+12.3	54
2	Celtic	24	15	3	6	+20	+10.2	48
3	Rangers	24	13	9	2	+20	+5.0	48
4	Motherwell	24	11	10	3	+20	+9.3	43
5	Hibernian	24	9	9	6	+10	+1.0	36
6	Falkirk	25	10	6	9	-3	+3.8	36
7	Aberdeen	24	8	4	12	-7	-9.2	28
8	Dundee United	23	5	10	8	-9	-11.2	25
9	St Mirren	24	5	8	11	-13	+1.9	23
10	Dundee	24	6	5	13	-18	-7.2	23
11	Kilmarnock	24	3	8	13	-20	-7.1	17
12	Livingston	25	1	8	16	-27	-8.7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	12	9	1	2	+19	+9.5	28
2	Hearts	12	8	4	0	+16	+5.3	28
3	Motherwell	12	8	3	1	+17	+9.6	27
4	Rangers	12	7	4	1	+9	+7.3	25
5	Hibernian	12	5	5	2	+10	+4.2	20
6	Falkirk	12	4	5	3	+3	+4.9	17
7	St Mirren	13	4	5	4	-2	+4.3	17
8	Aberdeen	12	4	4	4	+4	-4.4	16
9	Dundee	11	5	1	5	-2	-1.0	16
10	Dundee United	12	3	4	5	-5	-6.5	13
11	Kilmarnock	12	2	3	7	-8	-1.2	9
12	Livingston	13	1	4	8	-9	-2.9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	13	8	2	3	+11	+7.0	26
2	Rangers	12	6	5	1	+11	-2.4	23
3	Celtic	12	6	2	4	+1	+0.7	20
4	Falkirk	13	6	1	6	-6	-1.1	19
5	Motherwell	12	3	7	2	+3	-0.4	16
6	Hibernian	12	4	4	4	+0	-3.2	16
7	Dundee United	11	2	6	3	-4	-4.7	12
8	Aberdeen	12	4	0	8	-11	-4.7	12
9	Kilmarnock	12	1	5	6	-12	-5.9	8
10	Dundee	13	1	4	8	-16	-6.2	7
11	St Mirren	11	1	3	7	-11	-2.4	6
12	Livingston	12	0	4	8	-18	-5.8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.