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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Hibernian
T U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Motherwell
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
57%
33%
Both score Ø 48%
52%
43%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,57 xG 1,38
45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 5. · Motherwell 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 20 13 5 2 +22 +9.0 44
2 Rangers 21 11 8 2 +15 +3.2 41
3 Celtic 20 12 2 6 +13 +8.7 38
4 Motherwell 21 9 9 3 +14 +6.9 36
5 Hibernian 21 9 7 5 +13 +1.8 34
6 Falkirk 20 7 6 7 -6 +0.4 27
7 Dundee United 21 5 10 6 -2 -5.1 25
8 Aberdeen 21 7 4 10 -6 -6.3 25
9 Dundee 21 6 4 11 -14 -7.3 22
10 St Mirren 19 4 6 9 -10 +2.3 18
11 Kilmarnock 21 2 7 12 -19 -8.4 13
12 Livingston 20 1 6 13 -20 -5.2 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Motherwell
17′
🔁 J. Koutroumbis
↦ S. O'Donnell
Josh Mulligan 🟨
32′
34′
🟨 Stephen Welsh
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Lukas Fadinger
Jordan Obita 🟨
47′
J. Hoilett 🔁
↦ J. McGrath
51′
52′
T. Maswanhise 0–1
E. Just
1–1 K. Bowie
J. Obita
69′
73′
🟨 Oscar Priestman
73′
🔁 C. Slattery
↦ O. Priestman
C. Cadden 🔁
↦ K. Bowie
75′
T. Klidje 🔁
↦ K. Megwa
75′
80′
🟨 Emmanuel Longelo
86′
🔁 J. McGhee
↦ E. Just
87′
🟨 Ibrahim Said
87′
🔁 L. Gordon
↦ S. Welsh
D. Levitt 🔁
↦ J. Mulligan
88′
J. Newell 🔁
↦ D. Barlaser
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 R. Sallinger G
5 W. O'Hora D
4 G. Hanley D
15 J. Iredale D
27 K. Megwa M
20 J. Mulligan M
22 D. Barlaser M
21 J. Obita M
17 J. McGrath F
7 T. Youan F
9 K. Bowie F
Bench (9)
13 J. Smith
6 D. Levitt
11 J. Newell
12 C. Cadden
18 T. Klidje
23 J. Hoilett
24 Z. Mitchell
33 R. Bushiri
35 R. Molotnikov

Coach: David Gray

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
13 C. Ward G
2 S. O'Donnell D
16 P. McGinn D
57 S. Welsh D
45 E. Longelo D
12 L. Fadinger M
25 O. Priestman M
7 T. Sparrow M
21 E. Just M
90 I. Said M
18 T. Maswanhise F
Bench (9)
31 Matty Connelly
4 L. Gordon
6 J. McGhee
8 C. Slattery
9 A. Stamatelopoulos
22 J. Koutroumbis
24 D. E. Osong
28 L. Ross
39 Z. McAllister

Coach: Jens Askou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,03
U ✓
3,42
B
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.