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Bundesliga

Referee: H Lechner

Sturm Graz

S U T T T

1–5

Full-time

Salzburg

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

4,0

Scored

0,8

2,7

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 53%

38%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

54%

79%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

3,0

4,5

Scored

1,6

3,4

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

19% Possession 81%

3 Shots 24

1 Shots on target 12

2 Blocked shots 1

7 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 1

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 6. · Salzburg 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	25	17	4	4	+28	55
2	Salzburg	24	16	6	2	+56	54
3	SK Rapid	25	13	7	5	+24	46
4	Wolfsberger AC	25	12	6	7	+22	42
5	Hartberg	25	10	5	10	-17	35
6	Sturm Graz	24	9	5	10	+4	32
7	Austria Vienna	25	6	11	8	-4	29
8	Altach	25	8	5	12	-8	29
9	Mattersburg	25	6	5	14	-24	23
10	Admira	25	5	7	13	-21	22
11	Tirol	25	5	6	14	-29	21
12	St. Polten	25	4	9	12	-31	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	12	10	1	1	+33	31
2	LASK	13	6	3	4	+10	21
3	Wolfsberger AC	13	5	4	4	+10	19
4	SK Rapid	12	5	4	3	+10	19
5	Austria Vienna	13	5	4	4	+2	19
6	Hartberg	12	5	3	4	-4	18
7	Altach	12	4	3	5	-1	15
8	Sturm Graz	12	4	2	6	+0	14
9	Admira	12	2	3	7	-10	9
10	Tirol	13	2	3	8	-20	9
11	St. Polten	13	1	5	7	-21	8
12	Mattersburg	12	1	3	8	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	12	11	1	0	+18	34
2	SK Rapid	13	8	3	2	+14	27
3	Salzburg	12	6	5	1	+23	23
4	Wolfsberger AC	12	7	2	3	+12	23
5	Sturm Graz	12	5	3	4	+4	18
6	Mattersburg	13	5	2	6	-9	17
7	Hartberg	13	5	2	6	-13	17
8	Altach	13	4	2	7	-7	14
9	St. Polten	12	3	4	5	-10	13
10	Admira	13	3	4	6	-11	13
11	Tirol	12	3	3	6	-9	12
12	Austria Vienna	12	1	7	4	-6	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.