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Bundesliga

Referee: D Muckenhammer

Sturm Graz

S T U S T

1–1

Full-time

Salzburg

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

5,8

Scored

1,8

4,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+3,8

This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 70%

50%

90%

Points per game

1,6

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

40%

90%

Both score Ø 45%

30%

60%

Average goals

2,5

5,5

Scored

1,5

4,6

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+3,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%

13 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

1 Corners 7

4 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 5. · Salzburg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	9	1	0	+37	28
2	LASK	10	7	2	1	+12	23
3	Wolfsberger AC	10	7	1	2	+17	22
4	SK Rapid	10	6	2	2	+9	20
5	Sturm Graz	10	5	1	4	+5	16
6	Hartberg	10	3	3	4	-3	12
7	Austria Vienna	10	3	2	5	-6	11
8	Mattersburg	10	3	1	6	-11	10
9	Tirol	10	2	3	5	-7	9
10	Altach	10	2	1	7	-10	7
11	St. Polten	10	1	3	6	-23	6
12	Admira	10	1	2	7	-20	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	6	0	0	+25	18
2	Wolfsberger AC	6	4	1	1	+14	13
3	Sturm Graz	5	3	0	2	+5	9
4	Altach	5	2	1	2	+4	7
5	SK Rapid	5	2	1	2	+3	7
6	Hartberg	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Austria Vienna	5	2	1	2	-2	7
8	LASK	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Admira	5	1	1	3	-4	4
10	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-4	4
11	Mattersburg	6	1	1	4	-7	4
12	St. Polten	4	0	1	3	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	SK Rapid	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Salzburg	4	3	1	0	+12	10
4	Wolfsberger AC	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Sturm Graz	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Mattersburg	4	2	0	2	-4	6
7	Tirol	6	1	2	3	-3	5
8	Hartberg	5	1	2	2	-4	5
9	St. Polten	6	1	2	3	-12	5
10	Austria Vienna	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Admira	5	0	1	4	-16	1
12	Altach	5	0	0	5	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.