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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
Hartberg
U T T S U
1–0
Full-time
Tirol
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,7
4,2
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 33%
24%
41%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
41%
59%
Both score Ø 59%
65%
53%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
5 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 9. · Tirol 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 18 14 1 3 +38 43
2 SK Rapid 18 11 4 3 +13 37
3 LASK 18 11 3 4 +19 36
4 Sturm Graz 18 9 4 5 +12 31
5 Wolfsberger AC 18 8 3 7 -2 27
6 Tirol 17 7 3 7 +2 24
7 Austria Vienna 18 5 6 7 +0 21
8 St. Polten 18 5 5 8 -4 20
9 Hartberg 17 4 7 6 -12 19
10 Ried 18 4 4 10 -16 16
11 Admira 18 3 3 12 -25 12
12 Altach 18 3 3 12 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg Tirol
Thomas Rotter 🟨
19′
Tobias Kainz 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–0
C. Klem 🔁
↦ T. Rotter
46′
R. Rep 🔁
↦ M. Schmerböck
46′
63′
🟨 David Schnegg
Jurgen Heil 🟨
65′
1–0 R. Rep
68′
S. Chabbi 🔁
↦ D. Tadić
69′
71′
🔁 T. Anselm
↦ B. Pranter
72′
🔁 J. Naschberger
↦ Ž. Rogelj
72′
🔁 R. Smith
↦ D. Schnegg
J. Ertlthaler 🔁
↦ S. Horvath
79′
81′
🔁 Bruno Soares
↦ D. Gugganig
81′
🔁 F. Toplitsch
↦ F. Rieder
Felix Luckeneder 🟨
82′
M. Horvat 🔁
↦ J. Heil
82′
83′
🟨 Bruno Soares
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hartberg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Swete G
5 M. Gollner D
31 T. Rotter D
23 T. Kainz M
32 F. Luckeneder D
29 S. Horvath M
42 B. Nimaga M
22 F. Flecker M
28 J. Heil D
24 D. Tadić F
20 M. Schmerböck M
Bench (7)
14 C. Klem
9 R. Rep
45 S. Chabbi
7 J. Ertlthaler
11 M. Horvat
27 L. Ried
35 R. Sallinger

Coach: M. Schopp

Tirol

4-4-2
25 F. Oswald G
24 F. Koch D
4 D. Gugganig D
30 R. Behounek D
43 N. Celic M
28 D. Schnegg D
7 B. Pranter F
6 T. Petsos M
16 F. Rieder M
21 Ž. Rogelj M
9 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (7)
20 T. Anselm
17 J. Naschberger
8 R. Smith
44 Bruno Soares
10 F. Toplitsch
34 S. Hager
13 B. Ozegovic

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.