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Bundesliga
Referee: A Kijas
Tirol
T S T U T
0–1
Full-time
Hartberg
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,3
2,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 75%
70%
80%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 9. · Hartberg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 11 9 2 0 +37 29
2 LASK 11 8 2 1 +17 26
3 Wolfsberger AC 10 7 1 2 +17 22
4 SK Rapid 10 6 2 2 +9 20
5 Sturm Graz 11 5 2 4 +5 17
6 Hartberg 10 3 3 4 -3 12
7 Austria Vienna 10 3 2 5 -6 11
8 Mattersburg 11 3 1 7 -16 10
9 Tirol 10 2 3 5 -7 9
10 Admira 11 2 2 7 -17 8
11 Altach 11 2 1 8 -13 7
12 St. Polten 10 1 3 6 -23 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol Hartberg
19′
🟨 David Cancola
Florian Toplitsch 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Bakary Nimaga
56′
🔁 Lukas Ried
↦ David Cancola
61′
Rajko Rep 0–1
Sebastian Santin 🔁
↦ Julian Gölles
62′
Clemens Walch 🔁
↦ Florian Toplitsch
66′
68′
🟨 Tobias Kainz
69′
🔁 Lukas Gabbichler
↦ Tomas Ostrak
David Gugganig 🟨
81′
Michael Svoboda 🔁
↦ Florian Buchacher
83′
83′
🔁 Sandro Gotal
↦ Dario Tadić
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Tirol

3-4-1-2
25 Ferdinand Oswald G
19 Sandro Neurauter D
34 Stefan Hager D
4 David Gugganig D
14 Julian Gölles M
10 Florian Toplitsch M
46 Lukas Grgić M
26 Florian Buchacher M
7 Benjamin Pranter F
27 Kelvin Yeboah F
22 Zlatko Dedič F
Bench (7)
1 Pascal Grunwald
3 Michael Svoboda
18 Clemens Walch
9 Sebastian Santin
16 Florian Rieder
42 Florian Mader
21 Milan Jurdik

Coach: T. Silberberger

Hartberg

4-1-4-1
1 Rene Swete G
23 Tobias Kainz D
4 Michael Huber D
32 Felix Luckeneder D
14 Christian Klem D
42 Bakary Nimaga M
19 Tomas Ostrak M
18 David Cancola M
9 Rajko Rep M
20 Jodel Dossou M
24 Dario Tadić F
Bench (7)
35 Raphael Sallinger
22 Dante Amadou
31 Thomas Rotter
27 Lukas Ried
28 Jurgen Heil
11 Lukas Gabbichler
40 Sandro Gotal

Coach: M. Schopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kijas · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.