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Bundesliga
Referee: J Spurny
Tirol
U T U S T
1–1
Full-time
Hartberg
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
16 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 8
7 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 7. · Hartberg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 5 5 0 0 +15 15
2 SK Rapid 4 3 1 0 +7 10
3 Sturm Graz 5 2 3 0 +6 9
4 St. Polten 4 2 1 1 +6 7
5 Austria Vienna 5 2 1 2 +0 7
6 LASK 4 2 1 1 +0 7
7 Tirol 4 1 1 2 -1 4
8 Altach 5 1 1 3 -7 4
9 Admira 5 1 1 3 -8 4
10 Wolfsberger AC 4 1 0 3 -4 3
11 Ried 5 1 0 4 -6 3
12 Hartberg 4 0 2 2 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol Hartberg
14′
🟨 Tobias Kainz
David Gugganig 🟨
16′
1–0 K. Yeboah
T. Petsos
30′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Ried
↦ M. Gollner
J. Gölles 🔁
↦ Ž. Rogelj
61′
64′
🔁 J. Heil
↦ S. Tijani
R. Smith 🔁
↦ N. Frederiksen
70′
T. Anselm 🔁
↦ B. Pranter
71′
74′
R. Rep 1–1
A. Lienhart
79′
🔁 S. Chabbi
↦ D. Tadić
82′
🔁 J. Ertlthaler
↦ S. Horvath
Thanos Petsos 🟨
83′
F. Rieder 🔁
↦ Z. Dedič
83′
84′
🟨 Julius Ertlthaler
Johannes Naschberger 🟨
89′
Stefan Hager 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tirol

4-4-2
25 F. Oswald G
34 S. Hager D
4 D. Gugganig D
28 D. Schnegg D
7 B. Pranter M
6 T. Petsos M
17 J. Naschberger M
21 Ž. Rogelj D
22 Z. Dedič F
9 N. Frederiksen M
27 K. Yeboah F
Bench (7)
14 J. Gölles
8 R. Smith
20 T. Anselm
16 F. Rieder
26 F. Buchacher
10 F. Toplitsch
13 B. Ozegovic

Coach: T. Silberberger

Hartberg

3-5-2
1 R. Swete G
6 A. Lienhart M
14 C. Klem M
5 M. Gollner D
31 T. Rotter D
23 T. Kainz M
32 F. Luckeneder D
29 S. Horvath M
8 S. Tijani M
24 D. Tadić F
9 R. Rep F
Bench (7)
27 L. Ried
28 J. Heil
45 S. Chabbi
7 J. Ertlthaler
10 S. Rakowitz
4 M. Huber
35 R. Sallinger

Coach: M. Schopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Spurny · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.