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Bundesliga
Referee: I Simsek
Tirol
T U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Altach
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Altach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 17%
19%
15%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
46%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
58%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 10. · Altach 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 26 17 5 4 +28 56
2 Austria Vienna 26 15 5 6 +15 50
3 Salzburg 26 13 8 5 +15 47
4 Wolfsberger AC 26 13 5 8 +19 44
5 LASK 26 13 4 9 +5 43
6 SK Rapid 26 10 7 9 +2 37
7 BW Linz 26 10 3 13 -5 33
8 Hartberg 26 7 9 10 -7 30
9 A. Klagenfurt 26 6 7 13 -24 25
10 Tirol 26 5 8 13 -13 23
11 Grazer AK 26 4 9 13 -18 21
12 Altach 26 4 8 14 -17 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol Altach
1–0 V. Müller ⚽
S. Škrbo
35′
Half-time 1–0
J. Naschberger 🔁
↦ Q. Butler
54′
63′
🟨 Vesel Demaku
Osarenren Okungbowa 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 F. Dietz
↦ L. Fridrikas
68′
🔁 P. Koller
↦ P. Estrada
Jamie Lawrence 🟨
69′
72′
🟨 Mohamed Ouédraogo
77′
🔁 L. Gugganig
↦ F. Dietz
B. Blume 🔁
↦ C. Üstündag
86′
Y. Vötter 🔁
↦ S. Škrbo
86′
90′
🔁 L. Lukačević
↦ M. Ouédraogo
90′
🔁 L. Fadinger
↦ D. Kameri
92′
🟨 Sandro Ingolitsch
M. Diarra 🔁
↦ L. Hinterseer
93′
Mahamadou Diarra 🟨
94′
Adam Stejskal 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Tirol

3-4-1-2
40 A. Stejskal G
27 D. Jaunegg D
5 J. Lawrence D
22 O. Okungbowa D
7 Q. Butler M
4 V. Müller M
20 C. Üstündag M
25 L. Czyborra M
30 M. Taferner F
16 L. Hinterseer F
23 S. Škrbo F
Bench (7)
17 J. Naschberger
10 B. Blume
21 Y. Vötter
8 M. Diarra
3 D. Gugganig
1 P. Schermer
28 T. Geris

Coach: P. Semlic

Altach

4-3-1-2
1 D. Stojanovic G
25 S. Ingolitsch D
3 B. Zech D
22 P. Estrada D
29 M. Ouédraogo D
6 V. Demaku M
8 M. Bähre M
37 D. Kameri M
20 A. Gorgon M
14 L. Fridrikas F
10 O. Diawara F
Bench (7)
9 F. Dietz
15 P. Koller
5 L. Gugganig
12 L. Lukačević
30 L. Fadinger
21 A. Helac
23 L. Jäger

Coach: F. Ingolitsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

I Simsek · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.