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Bundesliga
Referee: C Jäeger
Tirol
U T T T U
1–3
Full-time
Hartberg
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 22%
17%
26%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 52%
43%
61%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Corners 3
10 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 3
2 Red cards 1
The table before the match Tirol 10. · Hartberg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 24 15 5 4 +25 50
2 Austria Vienna 23 15 4 4 +19 49
3 Salzburg 23 11 8 4 +13 41
4 Wolfsberger AC 23 11 4 8 +14 37
5 SK Rapid 24 9 7 8 +4 34
6 LASK 23 10 4 9 +1 34
7 BW Linz 23 10 3 10 -1 33
8 Hartberg 23 6 8 9 -8 26
9 A. Klagenfurt 23 6 6 11 -21 24
10 Tirol 23 4 8 11 -11 20
11 Grazer AK 23 3 8 12 -18 17
12 Altach 23 3 7 13 -17 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol Hartberg
Lukas Hinterseer 🟨
5′
David Gugganig 🟨
7′
9′
J. Drew 0–1
P. Mijić
17′
🟨 Dominik Prokop
Matthäus Taferner ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
30′
Matthäus Taferner 🟥
31′
43′
🟨 Tobias Kainz
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Tobias Kainz
48′
🟥 Tobias Kainz
55′
🔁 Y. Diarra
↦ J. Drew
David Gugganig 🟨
63′
David Gugganig 🟥
63′
M. Diarra 🔁
↦ S. Škrbo
66′
Mahamadou Diarra 🟨
71′
72′
🔁 E. Havel
↦ P. Mijić
72′
🔁 J. Omoregie
↦ D. Prokop
T. Anselm 🔁
↦ J. Naschberger
75′
D. Jaunegg 🔁
↦ Q. Butler
75′
Jamie Lawrence 🟨
77′
1–1 J. David
V. Müller
79′
C. Üstündag 🔁
↦ L. Hinterseer
82′
86′
🔁 M. Husković
↦ F. Demir
91′
E. Havel 1–2
J. Omoregie
94′
Y. Diarra 1–3
M. Pfeifer
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Tirol

5-3-2
40 A. Stejskal G
7 Q. Butler D
24 J. David D
5 J. Lawrence D
3 D. Gugganig D
25 L. Czyborra D
30 M. Taferner M
4 V. Müller M
17 J. Naschberger M
16 L. Hinterseer F
23 S. Škrbo F
Bench (7)
8 M. Diarra
11 T. Anselm
27 D. Jaunegg
20 C. Üstündag
22 O. Okungbowa
1 P. Schermer
28 T. Geris

Coach: P. Semlic

Hartberg

5-3-2
1 R. Sallinger G
61 F. Demir D
28 J. Heil D
18 F. Wilfinger D
6 M. Karamatić D
20 M. Pfeifer D
23 T. Kainz M
4 B. Markuš M
27 D. Prokop M
79 J. Drew F
9 P. Mijić F
Bench (7)
5 Y. Diarra
7 E. Havel
36 J. Omoregie
33 M. Husković
19 R. Hofer
21 L. Marić
95 D. Kovacevic

Coach: M. Karner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Jäeger · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.