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Super League
Referee: Adrien Jaccottet
Thun
S U U U T
4–3
Full-time
Vaduz
S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Vaduz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,0
This season — Super League · 37/1 matches
Win Ø 64%
27%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
59%
0%
Both score Ø 27%
54%
0%
Average goals
3,1
2,0
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,9
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 36 23 7 6 +39 76
2 St. Gallen 36 21 5 10 +23 68
3 Basel 36 18 8 10 +36 62
4 Servette 36 12 13 11 +9 49
5 Lugano 36 11 14 11 +0 47
6 Luzern 36 13 7 16 -8 46
7 Zurich 36 12 7 17 -27 43
8 Sion 36 10 9 17 -15 39
9 Thun 37 10 8 19 -24 38
10 Xamax 36 5 12 19 -35 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Aug -20 Vaduz – Thun 2–0

Match report

Thun Vaduz
19′
⚽ M. Coulibaly 0–1
D. Schwizer
24′
🟨 P. Dorn
25′
🟨 T. Cicek
N. Hasler 🟨
27′
30′
🟨 D. Schwizer
0–2 B. Buchel ⚽
own goal
41′
Half-time 1–2
1–2 L. Bertone ⚽
H. Bande
47′
51′
⚽ M. Coulibaly 1–3
M. Sutter
S. Joss 🔁
↦ M. Tosetti
53′
H. Bande 🔁
↦ A. Hiran
53′
56′
🔁 M. Sutter
↦ C. Gasser
64′
🟨 G. Luchinger
M. Breitenmoser 🔁
↦ S. Rapp
67′
69′
⚽ T. Cicek 1–4
M. Coulibaly
69′
🔁 S. Wieser
↦ B. Prokopic
69′
🔁 M. Coulibaly
↦ N. Milinceanu
N. Havenaar 🔁
↦ N. Sutter
71′
78′
🔁 T. Cicek
↦ N. Frick
78′
🔁 D. Schwizer
↦ D. Djokic
2–4 R. Munsy ⚽
87′
90′
🟨 G. Luchinger
90′
🟥 G. Luchinger
3–4 S. Rapp ⚽
M. Tosetti
94′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Thun

4-3-3
1 Guillaume Faivre G
39 Sven Joss D
5 Nikki Havenaar D
10 Basil Stillhart M
29 Nias Hefti D
8 Gregory Karlen M
16 Leonardo Bertone M
28 Nicolas Hasler M
27 Hassane Bandé F
9 Ridge Munsy F
24 Magnus Breitenmoser M
Bench (7)
30 Andreas Hirzel
31 Stefan Glarner
34 Nicola Sutter
15 Hiran Ahmed
6 Kenan Fatkič
11 Matteo Tosetti
13 Simone Rapp

Coach: M. Schneider

Vaduz

3-4-3
1 Benjamin Buchel G
6 Fuad Rahimi D
15 Yannick Schmid D
4 Denis Simani D
21 Pius Dorn D
30 Gabriel Luchinger F
23 Sandro Wieser M
17 Dominik Schwizer M
10 Mohamed Coulibaly F
11 Tunahan Cicek M
9 Manuel Sutter F
Bench (7)
18 Justin Ospelt
24 Cedric Gasser
5 Berkay Sulungoz
19 Dejan Djokic
25 Noah Frick
28 Boris Prokopič
8 Nicolae Milinceanu

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.