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Allsvenskan
Sirius
S U T U U
3–3
Full-time
Varberg
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Varberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Allsvenskan · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
31%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 62%
69%
54%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sirius 8. · Varberg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 14 9 4 1 +17 31
2 Elfsborg 14 7 6 1 +5 27
3 Norrkoping 13 7 4 2 +12 25
4 Djurgarden 14 7 2 5 +6 23
5 Hacken 14 5 6 3 +9 21
6 Hammarby 14 5 5 4 -1 20
7 Mjallby 14 5 4 5 -4 19
8 Sirius 13 4 6 3 +0 18
9 Orebro 14 4 5 5 -2 17
10 Varberg 13 4 4 5 +1 16
11 Goteborg 14 2 8 4 -5 14
12 AIK 14 3 4 7 -9 13
13 Kalmar 14 3 3 8 -6 12
14 Falkenbergs 14 2 6 6 -6 12
15 Ostersunds 14 2 6 6 -7 12
16 Helsingborg 13 1 7 5 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.