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Super League
Referee: F San
Zurich
T T T T T
3–3
Full-time
Thun
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Thun
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
0,3
2,0
Conceded
2,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,5
+1,3
This season — Super League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 32%
34%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
63%
60%
Both score Ø 49%
43%
54%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
15 Shots 31
7 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 7. · Thun 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 35 22 7 6 +37 73
2 St. Gallen 35 21 5 9 +25 68
3 Basel 35 18 7 10 +36 61
4 Servette 35 12 13 10 +10 49
5 Luzern 35 13 6 16 -8 45
6 Lugano 35 10 14 11 -1 44
7 Zurich 35 12 6 17 -27 42
8 Thun 35 10 7 18 -22 37
9 Sion 35 9 9 17 -16 36
10 Xamax 35 5 12 18 -34 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Thun
1–0 B. Kololli ⚽
B. Kramer
15′
2–0 B. Kramer ⚽
B. Kololli
33′
H. Koide 🟨
41′
Half-time 2–0
48′
🟨 N. Havenaar
53′
🔁 A. Hiran
↦ S. Rapp
3–0 T. Domgjoni ⚽
B. Kramer
56′
59′
🔁 N. Havenaar
↦ N. Sutter
59′
🔁 S. Glarner
↦ M. Tosetti
59′
🔁 L. Bertone
↦ K. Fatkic
T. Domgjoni 🔁
↦ H. Kryeziu
59′
H. Koide 🔁
↦ P. Modou
60′
B. Kololli 🟨
66′
68′
🔁 N. Hasler
↦ M. Breitenmoser
74′
⚽ R. Munsy 3–1
G. Karlen
A. Marchesano 🔁
↦ S. Seiler
77′
80′
🟨 M. Breitenmoser
84′
⚽ S. Rapp 3–2
M. Tosetti
P. Modou 🟨
87′
Nathan 🔁
↦ M. Kryeziu
87′
90′
⚽ R. Munsy 3–3
K. Fatkic
94′
🟨 N. Hefti
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Zurich

4-2-3-1
1 Andris Vaņins G
22 Kevin Ruegg D
3 Nathan D
4 Bećir Omeragić D
24 Michael Kempter D
14 Toni Domgjoni M
35 Simon Sohm M
43 Henri Koide M
10 Antonio Marchesano M
70 Benjamin Kololli M
18 Blaž Kramer F
Bench (7)
25 Yanick Brecher
31 Mirlind Kryeziu
13 Pa Modou Jagne
34 Ilan Sauter
71 Hekuran Kryeziu
33 Stephan Seiler
37 Shpetim Sulejmani

Coach: L. Magnin

Thun

4-3-1-2
1 Guillaume Faivre G
31 Stefan Glarner D
5 Nikki Havenaar D
10 Basil Stillhart D
29 Nias Hefti D
8 Gregory Karlen M
16 Leonardo Bertone M
28 Nicolas Hasler M
7 Miguel Castroman M
15 Hiran Ahmed F
9 Ridge Munsy F
Bench (7)
22 Nino Ziswiler
34 Nicola Sutter
39 Sven Joss
24 Magnus Breitenmoser
6 Kenan Fatkič
11 Matteo Tosetti
13 Simone Rapp

Coach: M. Schneider

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U ✓
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

F San · 137 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.