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Super League
Referee: S Wolfensberger
Zurich
U T T U T
2–2
Full-time
Lausanne
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Lausanne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
40%
25%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
55%
70%
Both score Ø 63%
55%
70%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%
12 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
7 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 4. · Lausanne 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 21 13 5 3 +27 +0.6 44
2 St. Gallen 20 11 3 6 +10 +8.3 36
3 Servette 20 9 8 3 +9 +12.2 35
4 Zurich 20 8 8 4 +13 +1.4 32
5 Lugano 20 9 2 9 +4 +5.6 29
6 Luzern 20 8 4 8 -5 -1.0 28
7 Winterthur 21 7 5 9 -7 -1.3 26
8 Basel 21 7 4 10 -7 -5.8 25
9 Grasshoppers 20 7 3 10 +1 -6.6 24
10 Yverdon 21 6 6 9 -18 -9.2 24
11 Lausanne 20 5 5 10 -7 +2.5 20
12 Lausanne Ouchy 20 3 5 12 -20 -6.6 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Lausanne
35′
T. Coyle 0–1
R. Ilie
39′
🔁 A. Husic
↦ T. Coyle
41′
R. Ilie 0–2
Jonathan Okita 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Karlo Letica
Half-time 0–2
Rodrigo Conceição 🔁
↦ I. Mathew
46′
D. Afriyie 🔁
↦ F. Daprelà
46′
1–2 B. Krasniqi
47′
Cheick Oumar Conde 🟨
49′
2–2 Rodrigo Conceição
D. Afriyie
52′
66′
🔁 S. Pafundi
↦ K. Sène
A. Oko-Flex 🔁
↦ J. Okita
70′
C. Ligue 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
79′
84′
ℹ️ Brighton Labeau
VAR: Goal cancelled
Adrián Guerrero 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Zurich

3-4-3
25 Y. Brecher G
2 L. Kamberi D
24 N. Katić D
5 F. Daprelà D
19 N. Boranijašević M
17 C. Conde M
12 I. Mathew M
3 Adrián Guerrero M
10 A. Marchesano F
7 B. Krasniqi F
11 J. Okita F
Bench (9)
27 Rodrigo Conceição
18 D. Afriyie
22 A. Oko-Flex
20 C. Ligue
9 I. Santini
1 Ž. Kostadinović
4 S. Wallner
31 M. Kryeziu
37 N. Reichmuth

Coach: B. Henriksen

Lausanne

4-4-2
25 K. Letica G
10 O. Custodio D
6 N. Dussenne D
5 B. Dabanlı D
18 M. Poaty D
19 R. Ilie M
8 J. Roche M
24 A. Bernede M
99 T. Coyle M
96 B. Labeau F
9 K. Sène F
Bench (9)
4 A. Husic
30 S. Pafundi
34 R. Giger
17 S. Traore
7 S. Kukuruzović
1 T. Castella
37 M. Nanizayamo
77 D. Schwizer
12 G. Szalai

Coach: L. Magnin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Wolfensberger · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.