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Pro League

Referee: N Laforge

St. Gilloise

S S S S S

3–2

Full-time

RWD Molenbeek

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise RWD Molenbeek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 14/17 matches

Win Ø 55%

86%

24%

Points per game

2,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

79%

71%

Both score Ø 65%

64%

65%

Average goals

3,5

3,4

Scored

2,5

1,1

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,23 xG 0,84

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gilloise 1. · RWD Molenbeek 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	12	1	1	+21	+15.4	37
2	Club Brugge	17	10	4	3	+27	+29.8	34
3	Cercle Brugge	14	10	1	3	+13	+12.1	31
4	Anderlecht	13	8	4	1	+13	+9.5	28
5	Antwerp	14	6	6	2	+20	+15.1	24
6	Genk	14	6	5	3	+16	+18.5	23
7	Gent	13	6	5	2	+7	+7.2	23
8	Westerlo	17	5	4	8	-5	-7.3	19
9	Mechelen	14	5	3	6	-1	-1.4	18
10	Standard	15	4	6	5	-6	-9.9	18
11	RWD Molenbeek	17	4	4	9	-21	-20.9	16
12	St Truiden	14	3	6	5	-8	-5.7	15
13	Charleroi	18	3	5	10	-15	-11.7	14
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	16	3	4	9	-10	-5.3	13
15	Kortrijk	19	3	4	12	-28	-19.8	13
16	Eupen	17	3	2	12	-23	-25.3	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cercle Brugge	7	6	1	0	+11	+8.8	19
2	Antwerp	8	5	3	0	+19	+13.4	18
3	Club Brugge	8	5	3	0	+15	+15.4	18
4	St. Gilloise	6	6	0	0	+14	+8.4	18
5	Anderlecht	6	5	1	0	+9	+6.8	16
6	Gent	7	4	3	0	+7	+4.9	15
7	Mechelen	7	4	2	1	+6	+2.5	14
8	Genk	7	3	3	1	+9	+11.8	12
9	Westerlo	8	4	0	4	+0	-2.4	12
10	Charleroi	9	3	3	3	-3	+0.3	12
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	3	2	3	+4	-1.9	11
12	Standard	8	3	2	3	+0	-3.0	11
13	RWD Molenbeek	8	3	2	3	-5	-7.0	11
14	St Truiden	8	2	3	3	-5	-2.0	9
15	Kortrijk	10	2	3	5	-8	-4.6	9
16	Eupen	8	2	1	5	-9	-10.9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	6	1	1	+7	+7.0	19
2	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+12	+14.4	16
3	Anderlecht	7	3	3	1	+4	+2.7	12
4	Cercle Brugge	7	4	0	3	+2	+3.3	12
5	Genk	7	3	2	2	+7	+6.7	11
6	Gent	6	2	2	2	+0	+2.3	8
7	Westerlo	9	1	4	4	-5	-4.9	7
8	Standard	7	1	4	2	-6	-6.9	7
9	Antwerp	6	1	3	2	+1	+1.7	6
10	St Truiden	6	1	3	2	-3	-3.7	6
11	RWD Molenbeek	9	1	2	6	-16	-14.0	5
12	Mechelen	7	1	1	5	-7	-3.9	4
13	Eupen	9	1	1	7	-14	-14.4	4
14	Kortrijk	9	1	1	7	-20	-15.2	4
15	Charleroi	9	0	2	7	-12	-12.0	2
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	0	2	6	-14	-3.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.