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Super League

Referee: L Piccolo

Winterthur

T T T T S

1–0

Full-time

Lausanne

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Lausanne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

82%

76%

Both score Ø 85%

94%

76%

Average goals

4,1

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,24 xG 0,90

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 10. · Lausanne 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	18	11	5	2	+23	-0.4	38
2	St. Gallen	18	10	3	5	+12	+9.9	33
3	Zurich	18	8	7	3	+14	+1.0	31
4	Servette	17	8	6	3	+8	+9.6	30
5	Lugano	17	8	1	8	+2	+3.5	25
6	Luzern	17	7	4	6	-4	-0.5	25
7	Grasshoppers	18	6	3	9	+1	-4.3	21
8	Yverdon	18	5	6	7	-14	-7.3	21
9	Lausanne	17	5	5	7	-4	+1.7	20
10	Winterthur	17	5	4	8	-8	-2.4	19
11	Basel	17	4	3	10	-11	-6.2	15
12	Lausanne Ouchy	18	2	5	11	-19	-4.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	9	9	0	0	+17	+5.7	27
2	Young Boys	9	7	2	0	+19	+1.7	23
3	Luzern	8	6	1	1	+6	+3.6	19
4	Zurich	9	5	3	1	+7	+0.5	18
5	Lugano	9	5	1	3	+3	+1.1	16
6	Servette	8	4	3	1	+7	+3.5	15
7	Lausanne	9	4	3	2	+4	+1.3	15
8	Yverdon	9	4	3	2	-2	+0.1	15
9	Grasshoppers	9	4	2	3	+7	-1.6	14
10	Winterthur	8	4	2	2	+1	+1.3	14
11	Basel	9	3	2	4	+0	-4.3	11
12	Lausanne Ouchy	9	1	4	4	-10	-0.5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	9	4	3	2	+4	-2.1	15
2	Servette	9	4	3	2	+1	+6.1	15
3	Zurich	9	3	4	2	+7	+0.4	13
4	Lugano	8	3	0	5	-1	+2.4	9
5	Grasshoppers	9	2	1	6	-6	-2.7	7
6	St. Gallen	9	1	3	5	-5	+4.2	6
7	Luzern	9	1	3	5	-10	-4.1	6
8	Yverdon	9	1	3	5	-12	-7.4	6
9	Lausanne	8	1	2	5	-8	+0.4	5
10	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-9	-3.8	5
11	Lausanne Ouchy	9	1	1	7	-9	-4.0	4
12	Basel	8	1	1	6	-11	-1.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.