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Bundesliga

Referee: G Winkmann

FC Koln

T S S S T

2–2

Full-time

Mainz

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 36%

40%

32%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

72%

76%

Both score Ø 58%

56%

60%

Average goals

3,4

3,5

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,8

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

16 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Koln 10. · Mainz 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	25	17	4	4	+47	55
2	Dortmund	26	16	6	4	+39	54
3	M'gladbach	26	16	4	6	+21	52
4	RB Leipzig	26	14	9	3	+36	51
5	Leverkusen	25	14	5	6	+15	47
6	Wolfsburg	26	10	9	7	+5	39
7	Freiburg	26	10	7	9	-1	37
8	Schalke 04	26	9	10	7	-7	37
9	Hoffenheim	26	10	5	11	-11	35
10	FC Koln	25	10	2	13	-6	32
11	Hertha	26	8	7	11	-13	31
12	Union Berlin	25	9	3	13	-9	30
13	Ein Frankfurt	25	8	4	13	-5	28
14	Augsburg	26	7	6	13	-17	27
15	Mainz	25	8	2	15	-19	26
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	26	5	8	13	-23	23
17	Werder Bremen	24	4	6	14	-28	18
18	Paderborn	26	4	5	17	-24	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	13	10	3	0	+35	33
2	Bayern Munich	13	9	2	2	+27	29
3	M'gladbach	13	9	2	2	+14	29
4	RB Leipzig	13	7	5	1	+19	26
5	Leverkusen	13	7	4	2	+12	25
6	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	3	4	+9	21
7	Schalke 04	13	5	6	2	+0	21
8	Freiburg	12	6	2	4	+2	20
9	FC Koln	12	6	1	5	+4	19
10	Union Berlin	12	6	1	5	+2	19
11	Wolfsburg	13	4	6	3	+3	18
12	Augsburg	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Hoffenheim	14	5	1	8	-15	16
14	Mainz	13	4	2	7	-6	14
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Hertha	13	3	3	7	-14	12
17	Paderborn	13	2	1	10	-14	7
18	Werder Bremen	11	1	2	8	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	8	2	2	+20	26
2	RB Leipzig	13	7	4	2	+17	25
3	M'gladbach	13	7	2	4	+7	23
4	Leverkusen	12	7	1	4	+3	22
5	Dortmund	13	6	3	4	+4	21
6	Wolfsburg	13	6	3	4	+2	21
7	Hoffenheim	12	5	4	3	+4	19
8	Hertha	13	5	4	4	+1	19
9	Freiburg	14	4	5	5	-3	17
10	Schalke 04	13	4	4	5	-7	16
11	Werder Bremen	13	3	4	6	-10	13
12	FC Koln	13	4	1	8	-10	13
13	Mainz	12	4	0	8	-13	12
14	Union Berlin	13	3	2	8	-11	11
15	Paderborn	13	2	4	7	-10	10
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	2	4	7	-13	10
17	Augsburg	13	2	3	8	-19	9
18	Ein Frankfurt	12	2	1	9	-14	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.