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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Brych

Mainz

U S T U U

1–0

Full-time

FC Koln

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 14%

27%

Points per game

1,1

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

36%

64%

Both score Ø 46%

55%

36%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,1

0,4

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 13. · FC Koln 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	8	2	1	+19	26
2	RB Leipzig	11	7	1	3	+5	22
3	Dortmund	12	6	2	4	+13	20
4	Schalke 04	11	6	2	3	+4	20
5	Hoffenheim	11	5	4	2	+6	19
6	Hannover	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Ein Frankfurt	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	M'gladbach	11	5	3	3	-2	18
9	Leverkusen	11	4	4	3	+7	16
10	Augsburg	11	4	4	3	+5	16
11	Stuttgart	12	5	1	6	-3	16
12	Hertha	11	3	5	3	-1	14
13	Mainz	11	3	3	5	-5	12
14	Wolfsburg	11	1	8	2	-3	11
15	Hamburg	11	3	1	7	-8	10
16	Freiburg	11	1	5	5	-15	8
17	Werder Bremen	11	0	5	6	-10	5
18	FC Koln	11	0	2	9	-18	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	6	5	1	0	+7	16
2	Bayern Munich	5	4	1	0	+13	13
3	RB Leipzig	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+8	11
5	Schalke 04	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Hoffenheim	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Hertha	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+4	10
9	Mainz	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	M'gladbach	6	3	1	2	-1	10
11	Dortmund	5	3	0	2	+9	9
12	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	+2	8
13	Ein Frankfurt	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Freiburg	6	1	4	1	+0	7
15	Hamburg	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Wolfsburg	6	0	5	1	-3	5
17	FC Koln	5	0	1	4	-7	1
18	Werder Bremen	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+6	13
2	Dortmund	7	3	2	2	+4	11
3	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Schalke 04	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	RB Leipzig	6	3	0	3	-1	9
6	Hoffenheim	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Augsburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Hannover	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	M'gladbach	5	2	2	1	-1	8
10	Wolfsburg	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Leverkusen	6	1	2	3	-1	5
12	Werder Bremen	6	0	4	2	-2	4
13	Hertha	5	0	3	2	-3	3
14	Hamburg	5	1	0	4	-5	3
15	Mainz	5	0	2	3	-7	2
16	FC Koln	6	0	1	5	-11	1
17	Freiburg	5	0	1	4	-15	1
18	Stuttgart	6	0	0	6	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.