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Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
FC Koln
S S S T S
1–4
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,5
2,8
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,5
This season — Bundesliga · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 49%
35%
62%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 76%
65%
86%
Both score Ø 59%
55%
62%
Average goals
3,3
3,9
Scored
1,4
2,8
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

38% Possession 62%
13 Shots 26
6 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 14. · Bayern Munich 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 22 13 6 3 +31 45
2 Bayern Munich 21 13 4 4 +35 43
3 Dortmund 22 12 6 4 +31 42
4 M'gladbach 21 13 3 5 +18 42
5 Leverkusen 22 12 4 6 +9 40
6 Schalke 04 21 9 8 4 +5 35
7 Freiburg 22 9 6 7 +0 33
8 Hoffenheim 22 10 3 9 -2 33
9 Wolfsburg 22 8 7 7 +0 31
10 Ein Frankfurt 22 8 4 10 +2 28
11 Augsburg 22 7 6 9 -11 27
12 Union Berlin 22 8 2 12 -8 26
13 Hertha 22 7 5 10 -11 26
14 FC Koln 20 7 2 11 -11 23
15 Mainz 21 7 0 14 -17 21
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 4 5 13 -25 17
17 Werder Bremen 22 4 5 13 -26 17
18 Paderborn 22 4 4 14 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Bayern Munich
3′
R. Lewandowski 0–1
T. Müller
5′
K. Coman 0–2
T. Müller
12′
S. Gnabry 0–3
J. Kimmich
28′
🟨 Jérôme Boateng
F. Kainz 🔁
↦ N. Katterbach
29′
Half-time 0–3
46′
🔁 L. Hernández
↦ J. Boateng
49′
🟨 Thiago Alcántara
59′
🔁 C. Tolisso
↦ J. Kimmich
66′
S. Gnabry 0–4
A. Davies
1–4 M. Uth
F. Kainz
70′
B. Schmitz 🔁
↦ I. Jakobs
72′
Sebastiaan Bornauw 🟨
79′
79′
🔁 L. Goretzka
↦ K. Coman
A. Modeste 🔁
↦ J. Córdoba
81′
82′
🟨 Benjamin Pavard
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
1 T. Horn G
5 R. Czichos D
19 K. Ehizibue D
33 S. Bornauw D
38 I. Jakobs M
34 N. Katterbach D
24 D. Drexler M
14 J. Hector M
28 E. Skhiri M
15 J. Córdoba F
23 M. Uth M
Bench (9)
30 F. Kainz
2 B. Schmitz
27 A. Modeste
6 M. Höger
32 J. Krahl
20 E. Rexhbecaj
29 J. Thielmann
9 S. Terodde
37 T. Leistner

Coach: M. Gisdol

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
17 J. Boateng D
27 D. Alaba D
32 J. Kimmich M
5 B. Pavard D
6 Thiago Alcântara M
22 S. Gnabry M
19 A. Davies D
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
29 K. Coman M
Bench (8)
21 L. Hernández
24 C. Tolisso
18 L. Goretzka
26 S. Ulreich
11 M. Cuisance
35 J. Zirkzee
10 Philippe Coutinho
2 Odriozola

Coach: H. Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
11,82
U
6,95
B ✓
1,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,28
U2,5
3,62
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.