Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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FC Koln
Bayern Munich
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–3
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
RB Leipzig
|
22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | +31 | 45 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +35 | 43 |
| 3 |
Dortmund
|
22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 42 |
| 4 |
M'gladbach
|
21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | +18 | 42 |
| 5 |
Leverkusen
|
22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 |
Schalke 04
|
21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | +5 | 35 |
| 7 |
Freiburg
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +0 | 33 |
| 8 |
Hoffenheim
|
22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | -2 | 33 |
| 9 |
Wolfsburg
|
22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 31 |
| 10 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | +2 | 28 |
| 11 |
Augsburg
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | -8 | 26 |
| 13 |
Hertha
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 |
FC Koln
|
20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 |
Mainz
|
21 | 7 | 0 | 14 | -17 | 21 |
| 16 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -25 | 17 |
| 17 |
Werder Bremen
|
22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -26 | 17 |
| 18 |
Paderborn
|
22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -20 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
T. Horn
G
K. Ehizibue
D
S. Bornauw
D
I. Jakobs
M
N. Katterbach
D
E. Skhiri
M
Coach: M. Gisdol
M. Neuer
G
J. Kimmich
M
B. Pavard
D
S. Gnabry
M
A. Davies
D
Coach: H. Flick
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
FC Koln
Freiburg
Dortmund
FC Koln
FC Koln
Wolfsburg
FC Koln
Werder Bremen
Ein Frankfurt
FC Koln
F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.