Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Dortmund
Bayern Munich
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | +52 | 61 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +41 | 57 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | +41 | 54 |
| 4 |
Leverkusen
|
27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | +20 | 53 |
| 5 |
M'gladbach
|
27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | +19 | 52 |
| 6 |
Wolfsburg
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | +3 | 39 |
| 7 |
Freiburg
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | -2 | 37 |
| 8 |
Schalke 04
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -10 | 37 |
| 9 |
Hoffenheim
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 |
FC Koln
|
27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | -6 | 34 |
| 11 |
Hertha
|
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | -9 | 34 |
| 12 |
Augsburg
|
27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -14 | 30 |
| 13 |
Union Berlin
|
27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | -15 | 30 |
| 14 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | -8 | 28 |
| 15 |
Mainz
|
27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | -24 | 27 |
| 16 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -23 | 24 |
| 17 |
Werder Bremen
|
26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -30 | 21 |
| 18 |
Paderborn
|
27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -24 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Manuel Akanji
D
Achraf Hakimi
M
Thomas Delaney
M
Thorgan Hazard
F
Julian Brandt
F
Erling Braut Haaland
F
Coach: L. Favre
Manuel Neuer
G
Benjamin Pavard
D
Alphonso Davies
D
Joshua Kimmich
M
Serge Gnabry
M
Coach: H. Flick
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Wolfsburg
Dortmund
Dortmund
Schalke 04
M'gladbach
Dortmund
Dortmund
Freiburg
Werder Bremen
Dortmund
T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.