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Bundesliga
Referee: M Fritz
Bayern Munich
S S S S S
5–2
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
2,8
1,3
Conceded
0,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 26/25 matches
Win Ø 51%
69%
32%
Points per game
2,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
81%
76%
Both score Ø 61%
58%
64%
Average goals
3,9
3,3
Scored
2,9
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,9
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%
23 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Ein Frankfurt 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 26 18 4 4 +49 58
2 Dortmund 27 17 6 4 +41 57
3 Leverkusen 27 16 5 6 +20 53
4 M'gladbach 27 16 4 7 +19 52
5 RB Leipzig 26 14 9 3 +36 51
6 Wolfsburg 27 10 9 8 +3 39
7 Freiburg 27 10 7 10 -2 37
8 Schalke 04 26 9 10 7 -7 37
9 Hoffenheim 27 10 6 11 -11 36
10 Hertha 27 9 7 11 -9 34
11 FC Koln 26 10 3 13 -6 33
12 Union Berlin 27 9 3 15 -15 30
13 Ein Frankfurt 25 8 4 13 -5 28
14 Augsburg 26 7 6 13 -17 27
15 Mainz 26 8 3 15 -19 27
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 26 5 8 13 -23 23
17 Werder Bremen 26 5 6 15 -30 21
18 Paderborn 27 4 6 17 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Ein Frankfurt
1–0 L. Goretzka
T. Muller
17′
35′
🟨 M. Hinteregger
2–0 T. Muller
A. Davies
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 O. N'Dicka
↦ T. Chandler
3–0 R. Lewandowski
K. Coman
46′
52′
M. Hinteregger 3–1
S. Rode
55′
M. Hinteregger 3–2
S. Rode
4–2 A. Davies
61′
I. Perisic 🔁
↦ S. Gnabry
64′
71′
🔁 M. Gacinovic
↦ D. Sow
71′
🔁 S. Rode
↦ D. Kamada
J. Boateng 🔁
↦ L. Hernandez
73′
4–3 M. Hinteregger
own goal
74′
76′
🔁 D. da Costa
↦ E. Durm
76′
🔁 A. Silva
↦ B. Dost
J. Kimmich 🔁
↦ M. Cuisance
85′
K. Coman 🔁
↦ J. Zirkzee
85′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 Manuel Neuer G
5 Benjamin Pavard D
17 Jérôme Boateng D
27 David Alaba D
19 Alphonso Davies D
32 Joshua Kimmich M
18 Leon Goretzka M
29 Kingsley Coman M
25 Thomas Müller M
14 Ivan Perišić M
9 Robert Lewandowski F
Bench (9)
26 Sven Ulreich
21 Lucas Hernández
33 Lars Lukas Mai
8 Javi Martínez
2 Álvaro Odriozola
34 Oliver Batista Meier
11 Michaël Cuisance
35 Joshua Zirkzee
22 Serge Gnabry

Coach: H. Flick

Ein Frankfurt

4-2-3-1
1 Kevin Trapp G
18 Almamy Touré D
3 Stefan Ilsanker D
13 Martin Hinteregger D
2 Evan N'Dicka D
5 Gelson Fernandes M
17 Sebastian Rode M
24 Danny da Costa M
11 Mijat Gaćinović M
10 Filip Kostić M
33 André Silva F
Bench (9)
32 Frederik Rønnow
25 Erik Durm
20 Makoto Hasebe
22 Timothy Chandler
8 Djibril Sow
16 Lucas Torró
6 Jonathan de Guzmán
15 Daichi Kamada
9 Bas Dost

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,15
U
8,70
B
16,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,25
U2,5
3,84
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Fritz · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.