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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

U S T S U

1–3

Full-time

Darmstadt

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Darmstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 35%

37%

33%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

52%

44%

Both score Ø 54%

56%

52%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

6 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 13

3 Corners 10

15 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 6. · Darmstadt 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	27	14	11	2	+26	53
2	Hamburg	27	12	10	5	+20	46
3	Stuttgart	27	13	6	8	+11	45
4	Heidenheim	27	12	8	7	+6	44
5	Darmstadt	27	9	12	6	+2	39
6	Erzgebirge Aue	27	10	8	9	+2	38
7	Holstein Kiel	27	10	8	9	+1	38
8	Greuther Furth	26	10	7	9	+4	37
9	Hannover	26	9	8	9	-1	35
10	Regensburg	27	9	7	11	-6	34
11	St Pauli	27	8	9	10	-2	33
12	Bochum	27	7	11	9	-2	32
13	Osnabruck	27	7	9	11	-5	30
14	Sandhausen	27	6	12	9	-5	30
15	Nurnberg	27	7	9	11	-12	30
16	Karlsruhe	27	6	10	11	-11	28
17	Wehen	27	7	7	13	-12	28
18	Dresden	25	6	6	13	-16	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	13	10	1	2	+18	31
2	Erzgebirge Aue	13	9	3	1	+15	30
3	Hamburg	13	9	2	2	+18	29
4	Heidenheim	14	8	4	2	+12	28
5	St Pauli	14	7	4	3	+9	25
6	Bielefeld	13	6	6	1	+12	24
7	Darmstadt	14	5	8	1	+8	23
8	Greuther Furth	13	7	2	4	+4	23
9	Regensburg	13	6	3	4	+2	21
10	Bochum	14	4	7	3	+4	19
11	Sandhausen	14	4	7	3	+0	19
12	Osnabruck	14	5	3	6	+0	18
13	Holstein Kiel	13	4	5	4	-1	17
14	Karlsruhe	14	4	5	5	-2	17
15	Dresden	13	5	2	6	-2	17
16	Nurnberg	14	3	6	5	-9	15
17	Hannover	12	2	7	3	-4	13
18	Wehen	13	3	4	6	-12	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	14	8	5	1	+14	29
2	Hannover	14	7	1	6	+3	22
3	Holstein Kiel	14	6	3	5	+2	21
4	Hamburg	14	3	8	3	+2	17
5	Darmstadt	13	4	4	5	-6	16
6	Heidenheim	13	4	4	5	-6	16
7	Wehen	14	4	3	7	+0	15
8	Nurnberg	13	4	3	6	-3	15
9	Greuther Furth	13	3	5	5	+0	14
10	Stuttgart	14	3	5	6	-7	14
11	Bochum	13	3	4	6	-6	13
12	Regensburg	14	3	4	7	-8	13
13	Osnabruck	13	2	6	5	-5	12
14	Sandhausen	13	2	5	6	-5	11
15	Karlsruhe	13	2	5	6	-9	11
16	St Pauli	13	1	5	7	-11	8
17	Erzgebirge Aue	14	1	5	8	-13	8
18	Dresden	12	1	4	7	-14	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.