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Super League

Referee: J von Mandach

Thun

S S S S S

2–2

Full-time

St. Gallen

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,7

1,8

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 67%

78%

56%

Points per game

2,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

78%

70%

Both score Ø 70%

70%

Average goals

3,4

3,2

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,69 xG 1,59

51% Possession 49%

11 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 9

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 4

25 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Thun 1. · St. Gallen 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	27	21	1	5	+33	+4.2	64
2	St. Gallen	27	15	5	7	+20	+9.2	50
3	Lugano	28	14	7	7	+12	-3.2	49
4	Basel	27	12	7	8	+6	+14.0	43
5	Young Boys	28	12	6	10	+4	-0.8	42
6	Sion	28	10	11	7	+8	+8.2	41
7	Luzern	28	8	9	11	+1	-1.6	33
8	Lausanne	28	8	9	11	-3	+5.3	33
9	Zurich	28	9	4	15	-15	-4.6	31
10	Servette	28	6	12	10	-7	+2.2	30
11	Grasshoppers	27	5	9	13	-12	-13.2	24
12	Winterthur	28	3	6	19	-47	-19.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	14	10	1	3	+16	+2.1	31
2	Lugano	14	9	3	2	+13	+0.2	30
3	Young Boys	13	8	2	3	+17	+11.1	26
4	Sion	14	7	4	3	+10	+3.9	25
5	St. Gallen	14	8	1	5	+9	+10.9	25
6	Basel	13	5	5	3	+7	+18.1	20
7	Lausanne	14	4	5	5	+2	+9.4	17
8	Zurich	14	5	1	8	-5	+1.9	16
9	Luzern	14	3	5	6	+0	+2.5	14
10	Grasshoppers	14	3	5	6	-1	-4.3	14
11	Servette	14	2	7	5	-5	-0.4	13
12	Winterthur	14	2	4	8	-14	-4.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	13	11	0	2	+17	+2.1	33
2	St. Gallen	13	7	4	2	+11	-1.7	25
3	Basel	14	7	2	5	-1	-4.1	23
4	Luzern	14	5	4	5	+1	-4.0	19
5	Lugano	14	5	4	5	-1	-3.5	19
6	Servette	14	4	5	5	-2	+2.6	17
7	Sion	14	3	7	4	-2	+4.2	16
8	Lausanne	14	4	4	6	-5	-4.1	16
9	Young Boys	15	4	4	7	-13	-11.9	16
10	Zurich	14	4	3	7	-10	-6.5	15
11	Grasshoppers	13	2	4	7	-11	-8.8	10
12	Winterthur	14	1	2	11	-33	-15.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.