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Puchar Polski
Referee: P Malec
Avia Świdnik
U T S S S
1–2
Full-time
Rakow
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Avia Świdnik Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 47%
60%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 57%
80%
33%
Average goals
4,6
2,0
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
3,3
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Avia Świdnik 6. · Rakow 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 4 4 0 0 +7 12
2 Chojniczanka Chojnice 5 3 2 0 +6 11
3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 4 3 1 0 +8 10
4 GKS Katowice 4 3 1 0 +5 10
5 Polonia Bytom 4 3 0 1 +12 9
6 Avia Świdnik 3 3 0 0 +7 9
7 Widzew Lodz 4 2 2 0 +2 8
8 Korona Kielce 3 2 1 0 +4 7
9 Rakow 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Hutnik Kraków 3 2 0 1 +3 6
11 Lech Poznan 3 2 0 1 +2 6
12 Lechia Gdansk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 Slask Wroclaw 3 2 0 1 +1 6
14 Piast Gliwice 3 2 0 1 +1 6
15 Wisla 3 2 0 1 -1 6
16 Jastrzębie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 Olimpia Grudziądz 3 1 1 1 +1 4
18 Świt Skolwin 3 1 1 1 +0 4
19 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
20 Cracovia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Legnica 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
24 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 Arka Gdynia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Pogon Szczecin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Odra Opole 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Gryf Słupsk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
31 Puszcza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 -2 3
33 Wikielec 2 1 0 1 -2 3
34 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 2 1 0 1 -5 3
35 Nieciecza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Flota Świnoujście 2 0 1 1 -3 1
39 Legia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Stal Mielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Małapanew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Motor Lublin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Polonia Warszawa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Odra Bytom Odrzański 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Łomża 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Avia Świdnik Rakow
9′
🔁 Adriano
↦ J. C. Silva
23′
🟨 M. Ilenic
A. Remenyuk 🟨
27′
K. Rozmus 🟨
30′
32′
🟨 B. Racovitan
45′
J. Brunes 0–1
Half-time 0–1
D. Assuncao 🔁
↦ W. Kalinowski
46′
55′
🔁 P. Makuch
↦ M. Ilenic
B. Falbierski 🔁
↦ A. Maj
65′
S. Kaminski 🟨
74′
D. Zawadzki 🔁
↦ S. Kaminski
78′
Y. Terekhov 🔁
↦ K. Rozmus
78′
K. Orzechowski 🟨
81′
81′
🔁 L. Rocha
↦ I. Lopez
81′
🔁 M. Ameyaw
81′
🔁 B. Mircetic
↦ J. Brunes
D. Zbozien 🟨
86′
D. Lacki 🔁
↦ M. Zuber
89′
90′
🟨 T. Pienko
1–1 D. Zawadzki
D. Zbozien
90′
92′
A. Mosor 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Avia Świdnik

12 A. Sobieszczyk
25 D. Zbozien
6 K. Orzechowski
4 K. Rozmus
7 W. Kalinowski
17 S. Kaminski
24 P. Uliczny
33 M. Pigiel
8 M. Zuber
9 A. Remenyuk
99 A. Maj
Bench (9)
1 I. Bartnik
5 R. Dobrzynski
10 D. Zawadzki
11 D. Lacki
14 K. Wojtkowski
15 D. Assuncao
36 K. Jodlowski
80 B. Falbierski
21 Y. Terekhov

Coach: Wojciech Szacon

Rakow

1 K. Trelowski
2 A. Mosor
25 B. Racovitan
4 S. Svarnas
35 M. Ilenic
5 M. Bulat
6 O. Repka
20 J. C. Silva
8 T. Pienko
10 I. Lopez
18 J. Brunes
Bench (9)
48 O. Zych
9 P. Makuch
11 Adriano
17 L. Rocha
19 M. Ameyaw
21 J. Napieraj
24 Z. Arsenic
39 I. Brusberg
44 B. Mircetic

Coach: Lukasz Tomczyk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Malec · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.