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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Basel

S T U T S

1–0

Full-time

Grasshoppers

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Grasshoppers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 32%

44%

19%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

59%

52%

Both score Ø 65%

67%

63%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,94 xG 0,89

51% Possession 49%

11 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 9

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Basel 4. · Grasshoppers 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	27	21	1	5	+33	+4.2	64
2	St. Gallen	27	15	5	7	+20	+9.2	50
3	Lugano	28	14	7	7	+12	-3.2	49
4	Basel	27	12	7	8	+6	+14.0	43
5	Young Boys	28	12	6	10	+4	-0.8	42
6	Sion	28	10	11	7	+8	+8.2	41
7	Luzern	28	8	9	11	+1	-1.6	33
8	Lausanne	28	8	9	11	-3	+5.3	33
9	Zurich	28	9	4	15	-15	-4.6	31
10	Servette	28	6	12	10	-7	+2.2	30
11	Grasshoppers	27	5	9	13	-12	-13.2	24
12	Winterthur	28	3	6	19	-47	-19.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	14	10	1	3	+16	+2.1	31
2	Lugano	14	9	3	2	+13	+0.2	30
3	Young Boys	13	8	2	3	+17	+11.1	26
4	Sion	14	7	4	3	+10	+3.9	25
5	St. Gallen	14	8	1	5	+9	+10.9	25
6	Basel	13	5	5	3	+7	+18.1	20
7	Lausanne	14	4	5	5	+2	+9.4	17
8	Zurich	14	5	1	8	-5	+1.9	16
9	Luzern	14	3	5	6	+0	+2.5	14
10	Grasshoppers	14	3	5	6	-1	-4.3	14
11	Servette	14	2	7	5	-5	-0.4	13
12	Winterthur	14	2	4	8	-14	-4.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	13	11	0	2	+17	+2.1	33
2	St. Gallen	13	7	4	2	+11	-1.7	25
3	Basel	14	7	2	5	-1	-4.1	23
4	Luzern	14	5	4	5	+1	-4.0	19
5	Lugano	14	5	4	5	-1	-3.5	19
6	Servette	14	4	5	5	-2	+2.6	17
7	Sion	14	3	7	4	-2	+4.2	16
8	Lausanne	14	4	4	6	-5	-4.1	16
9	Young Boys	15	4	4	7	-13	-11.9	16
10	Zurich	14	4	3	7	-10	-6.5	15
11	Grasshoppers	13	2	4	7	-11	-8.8	10
12	Winterthur	14	1	2	11	-33	-15.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.