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Super League
Referee: L Fahndrich
Basel
U T T S T
1–3
Full-time
St. Gallen
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 49%
44%
53%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
61%
72%
Both score Ø 67%
61%
72%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,54 xG 1,25
61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 23
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 5. · St. Gallen 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 36 24 2 10 +33 +4.2 74
2 St. Gallen 36 19 9 8 +23 +10.6 66
3 Lugano 36 18 9 9 +13 +0.7 63
4 Sion 36 16 13 7 +23 +15.1 61
5 Basel 36 16 8 12 +3 +10.1 56
6 Young Boys 36 14 9 13 +6 -0.9 51
7 Luzern 37 13 11 13 +7 +2.3 50
8 Servette 37 12 14 11 +6 +12.5 50
9 Lausanne 37 11 9 17 -12 +1.2 42
10 Zurich 37 11 5 21 -21 -9.6 38
11 Grasshoppers 37 7 9 21 -28 -19.9 30
12 Winterthur 37 5 8 24 -53 -26.2 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Basel St. Gallen
Bénie Traoré 🟨
10′
10′
🟨 Tom Gaal
Dominik Schmid ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
13′
13′
🟨 Aliou Balde
Nicolas Vouilloz 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Daschner
↦ T. Gaal
Leo Leroy 🟨
47′
50′
🟨 Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel
51′
A. Balde 0–1
K. Koindredi 🔁
↦ X. Shaqiri
57′
A. Ajeti 🔁
↦ G. Koloto
57′
Dominik Schmid 🟨
59′
61′
🔁 D. Besio
↦ A. Vogt
I. Salah 🔁
↦ L. Leroy
67′
75′
🔁 B. Fazliji
↦ L. Gortler
78′
C. Boukhalfa 0–2
M. Stevanovic
K. Ruegg 🔁
↦ K. Tsunemoto
81′
A. Rexhaj 🔁
↦ J. Duranville
81′
83′
🔁 J. Quintilla
↦ C. Boukhalfa
83′
🔁 N. Scherrer
↦ C. Konietzke
87′
🟨 Betim Fazliji
1–2 N. Vouilloz
K. Koindredi
88′
89′
N. Scherrer 1–3
94′
🟨 Chima Okoroji
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
6 K. Tsunemoto D
3 N. Vouilloz D
24 F. Daniliuc D
31 D. Schmid D
5 Metinho M
22 L. Leroy M
18 J. Duranville M
10 X. Shaqiri M
11 B. Traore M
37 G. Koloto F
Bench (9)
13 M. Salvi
27 K. Ruegg
4 B. Omeragic
8 K. Koindredi
14 A. Bacanin
23 A. Ajeti
29 M. Cisse
21 I. Salah
40 A. Rexhaj

Coach: Matthias Kohler

St. Gallen

3-5-2
1 L. Ati Zigi G
26 T. Gaal D
3 C. Kleine-Bekel D
36 C. Okoroji D
74 J. Ruiz M
16 L. Gortler M
63 C. Konietzke M
11 C. Boukhalfa M
64 M. Stevanovic M
18 A. Vogt F
14 A. Balde F
Bench (9)
81 Y. Bujard
8 J. Quintilla
23 B. Fazliji
47 E. Owusu
70 N. Scherrer
71 P. Buttiker
10 L. Daschner
19 A. Verinac
69 D. Besio

Coach: Enrico Maassen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Fahndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.