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Super League
Referee: L Fahndrich
Basel
S S T S S
3–3
Full-time
Young Boys
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 45%
48%
42%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
58%
74%
Both score Ø 65%
61%
68%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,24 xG 0,97
45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 4. · Young Boys 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 32 23 2 7 +36 +7.1 71
2 St. Gallen 31 16 8 7 +23 +9.0 56
3 Lugano 32 15 9 8 +11 -2.9 54
4 Basel 31 15 7 9 +8 +10.4 52
5 Sion 31 11 13 7 +9 +10.0 46
6 Young Boys 31 13 7 11 +5 -2.7 46
7 Luzern 31 10 9 12 +6 +2.8 39
8 Lausanne 32 10 9 13 -7 +3.7 39
9 Servette 31 8 12 11 -3 +6.9 36
10 Zurich 31 10 4 17 -16 -5.8 34
11 Grasshoppers 31 5 9 17 -23 -17.5 24
12 Winterthur 32 4 7 21 -49 -20.9 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Basel Young Boys
22′
🟨 Saidy Janko
27′
E. Fernandes 0–1
A. Gigovic
29′
🟨 Edimilson Fernandes
0–2 S. Lauper
own goal
36′
1–2 X. Shaqiri
B. Traore
41′
Half-time 1–2
62′
🟨 Joël Monteiro
63′
🔁 A. Virginius
↦ C. Fassnacht
64′
F. Daniliuc 2–2
own goal
3–2 B. Traore
68′
Metinho 🟨
74′
K. Koindredi 🔁
↦ X. Shaqiri
74′
A. Bacanin 🔁
↦ L. Leroy
74′
G. Koloto 🔁
↦ A. Ajeti
74′
77′
🔁 Y. Valery
↦ S. Janko
77′
🔁 S. Bukinac
↦ L. Benito
M. Soticek 🔁
↦ B. Traore
81′
88′
🔁 E. Colley
↦ A. Gigovic
89′
🔁 D. Pech
↦ E. Fernandes
90′
E. Colley 3–3
S. Essende
M. Cisse 🔁
↦ D. Schmid
94′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
3 N. Vouilloz D
4 B. Omeragic D
24 F. Daniliuc D
31 D. Schmid D
5 Metinho M
22 L. Leroy M
21 I. Salah M
10 X. Shaqiri M
11 B. Traore M
23 A. Ajeti F
Bench (9)
13 M. Salvi
27 K. Ruegg
8 K. Koindredi
14 A. Bacanin
37 G. Koloto
29 M. Cisse
19 M. Soticek
18 J. Duranville
43 M. Akahomen

Coach: Stephan Lichtsteiner

Young Boys

4-2-3-1
1 M. Keller G
17 S. Janko D
5 G. Wuthrich D
30 S. Lauper D
23 L. Benito D
37 A. Gigovic M
6 E. Fernandes M
16 C. Fassnacht M
10 A. Sanches M
77 J. Monteiro M
99 S. Essende F
Bench (9)
12 H. Lindner
29 C. Bedia
22 Y. Valery
11 E. Colley
39 D. Males
7 A. Virginius
4 T. Zoukrou
33 S. Bukinac
13 D. Pech

Coach: Gerardo Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Fahndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.