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Super League

Referee: M Turkes

Sion

S S S S S

2–2

Full-time

Lugano

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,5

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

0,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 47%

44%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 54%

47%

61%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,06 xG 2,12

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sion 4. · Lugano 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	36	24	2	10	+33	+4.2	74
2	St. Gallen	36	19	9	8	+23	+10.6	66
3	Lugano	36	18	9	9	+13	+0.7	63
4	Sion	36	16	13	7	+23	+15.1	61
5	Basel	36	16	8	12	+3	+10.1	56
6	Young Boys	36	14	9	13	+6	-0.9	51
7	Luzern	37	13	11	13	+7	+2.3	50
8	Servette	37	12	14	11	+6	+12.5	50
9	Lausanne	37	11	9	17	-12	+1.2	42
10	Zurich	37	11	5	21	-21	-9.6	38
11	Grasshoppers	37	7	9	21	-28	-19.9	30
12	Winterthur	37	5	8	24	-53	-26.2	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	18	12	2	4	+21	+2.2	38
2	Lugano	18	11	3	4	+12	+0.3	36
3	Sion	18	9	6	3	+15	+8.4	33
4	St. Gallen	18	10	2	6	+10	+13.6	32
5	Young Boys	18	9	4	5	+18	+12.8	31
6	Basel	18	8	6	4	+10	+19.1	30
7	Servette	19	7	7	5	+8	+8.3	28
8	Lausanne	18	6	5	7	+2	+10.5	23
9	Luzern	19	5	7	7	+4	+4.6	22
10	Zurich	18	7	1	10	-5	-0.3	22
11	Grasshoppers	19	4	5	10	-8	-7.8	17
12	Winterthur	18	3	5	10	-17	-4.7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	18	12	0	6	+12	+1.9	36
2	St. Gallen	18	9	7	2	+13	-3.0	34
3	Sion	18	7	7	4	+8	+6.7	28
4	Luzern	18	8	4	6	+3	-2.3	28
5	Lugano	18	7	6	5	+1	+0.4	27
6	Basel	18	8	2	8	-7	-9.0	26
7	Servette	18	5	7	6	-2	+4.2	22
8	Young Boys	18	5	5	8	-12	-13.7	20
9	Lausanne	19	5	4	10	-14	-9.3	19
10	Zurich	19	4	4	11	-16	-9.3	16
11	Grasshoppers	18	3	4	11	-20	-12.1	13
12	Winterthur	19	2	3	14	-36	-21.5	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.