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Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
Bielefeld
T T U T S
0–1
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 44%
24%
64%
Points per game
0,9
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
52%
56%
Both score Ø 44%
40%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,9
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

18% Possession 82%
7 Shots 20
0 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 7
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 15. · RB Leipzig 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 25 18 4 3 +39 58
2 RB Leipzig 25 16 6 3 +26 54
3 Wolfsburg 25 13 9 3 +22 48
4 Ein Frankfurt 25 11 11 3 +14 44
5 Dortmund 25 13 3 9 +17 42
6 Leverkusen 25 11 7 7 +15 40
7 Union Berlin 25 9 11 5 +11 38
8 Stuttgart 25 9 9 7 +10 36
9 Freiburg 25 9 7 9 -2 34
10 M'gladbach 25 8 9 8 +1 33
11 Hoffenheim 25 8 6 11 -4 30
12 Werder Bremen 25 7 9 9 -6 30
13 Augsburg 25 8 5 12 -11 29
14 FC Koln 25 5 7 13 -21 22
15 Bielefeld 25 6 4 15 -24 22
16 Hertha 25 5 6 14 -17 21
17 Mainz 25 5 6 14 -20 21
18 Schalke 04 25 1 7 17 -50 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld RB Leipzig
Half-time 0–1
46′
M. Sabitzer 0–1
Daniel Olmo
S. Córdova 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
69′
69′
🔁 Hwang Hee-Chan
↦ E. Forsberg
Amos Pieper 🟨
71′
77′
🔁 B. Henrichs
↦ A. Haidara
78′
🔁 Y. Poulsen
↦ Daniel Olmo
Cedric Brunner 🟨
83′
A. Voglsammer 🔁
↦ M. Okugawa
84′
85′
🟨 Kevin Kampl
S. Schipplock 🔁
↦ F. Klos
86′
J. Laursen 🔁
↦ Anderson Lucoqui
86′
C. Gebauer 🔁
↦ C. Brunner
86′
87′
🔁 N. Mukiele
↦ K. Kampl
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-3-1-2
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
23 Anderson Lucoqui D
2 A. Pieper D
19 M. Prietl M
11 M. Okugawa M
8 R. Doan F
28 M. Vlap M
31 A. Maier M
9 F. Klos F
Bench (9)
18 S. Córdova
21 A. Voglsammer
36 S. Schipplock
5 J. Laursen
7 C. Gebauer
16 F. Kunze
30 M. Hartel
34 O. Linnér
6 M. van der Hoorn

Coach: F. Kramer

RB Leipzig

3-4-2-1
1 P. Gulácsi G
23 M. Halstenberg D
4 V. Orban D
16 L. Klostermann D
44 K. Kampl M
7 M. Sabitzer M
18 C. Nkunku F
25 Daniel Olmo F
14 T. Adams M
8 A. Haidara M
10 E. Forsberg F
Bench (9)
11 Hwang Hee-Chan
39 B. Henrichs
9 Y. Poulsen
22 N. Mukiele
21 J. Kluivert
33 Josep Martínez
19 A. Sørloth
6 I. Konaté
20 L. Samardžić

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,83
U
4,95
B ✓
1,37
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.