Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bielefeld
RB Leipzig
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | +39 | 58 |
| 2 |
RB Leipzig
|
25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | +26 | 54 |
| 3 |
Wolfsburg
|
25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | +22 | 48 |
| 4 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | +14 | 44 |
| 5 |
Dortmund
|
25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | +17 | 42 |
| 6 |
Leverkusen
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +15 | 40 |
| 7 |
Union Berlin
|
25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | +11 | 38 |
| 8 |
Stuttgart
|
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | +10 | 36 |
| 9 |
Freiburg
|
25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 |
M'gladbach
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 33 |
| 11 |
Hoffenheim
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -4 | 30 |
| 12 |
Werder Bremen
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 |
Augsburg
|
25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -11 | 29 |
| 14 |
FC Koln
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -21 | 22 |
| 15 |
Bielefeld
|
25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -24 | 22 |
| 16 |
Hertha
|
25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 21 |
| 17 |
Mainz
|
25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 21 |
| 18 |
Schalke 04
|
25 | 1 | 7 | 17 | -50 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Ortega Moreno
G
A. Pieper
D
R. Doan
F
Coach: F. Kramer
P. Gulácsi
G
V. Orban
D
L. Klostermann
D
M. Sabitzer
M
C. Nkunku
F
Daniel Olmo
F
T. Adams
M
A. Haidara
M
Coach: J. Nagelsmann
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Leverkusen
Bielefeld
Bielefeld
Werder Bremen
Bielefeld
Union Berlin
Dortmund
Bielefeld
Bielefeld
Wolfsburg
F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.