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Bundesliga

Referee: S Stegemann

Leverkusen

S U U T S

1–2

Full-time

Bielefeld

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Bielefeld

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,7

This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 34%

46%

21%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

54%

50%

Both score Ø 51%

63%

38%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

75% Possession 25%

20 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 6. · Bielefeld 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	25	18	4	3	+39	58
2	RB Leipzig	24	16	5	3	+26	53
3	Wolfsburg	25	13	9	3	+22	48
4	Ein Frankfurt	24	11	10	3	+14	43
5	Dortmund	25	13	3	9	+17	42
6	Leverkusen	24	11	7	6	+16	40
7	Union Berlin	25	9	11	5	+11	38
8	Freiburg	25	9	7	9	-2	34
9	Stuttgart	24	8	9	7	+8	33
10	M'gladbach	25	8	9	8	+1	33
11	Hoffenheim	24	8	6	10	-2	30
12	Werder Bremen	25	7	9	9	-6	30
13	Augsburg	25	8	5	12	-11	29
14	FC Koln	25	5	7	13	-21	22
15	Hertha	25	5	6	14	-17	21
16	Mainz	25	5	6	14	-20	21
17	Bielefeld	24	5	4	15	-25	19
18	Schalke 04	25	1	7	17	-50	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	12	10	1	1	+15	31
2	Bayern Munich	12	9	3	0	+28	30
3	Wolfsburg	12	8	4	0	+16	28
4	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	6	0	+9	24
5	Dortmund	12	7	2	3	+13	23
6	Union Berlin	13	5	7	1	+10	22
7	Leverkusen	12	5	4	3	+7	19
8	Freiburg	13	5	4	4	+4	19
9	M'gladbach	13	5	4	4	+4	19
10	Hoffenheim	12	5	2	5	+5	17
11	Augsburg	13	4	3	6	-6	15
12	Werder Bremen	12	3	4	5	-5	13
13	Bielefeld	13	4	1	8	-11	13
14	Stuttgart	11	2	6	3	+2	12
15	Mainz	13	3	2	8	-9	11
16	Hertha	12	3	2	7	-11	11
17	FC Koln	12	1	4	7	-9	7
18	Schalke 04	13	1	3	9	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	9	1	3	+11	28
2	RB Leipzig	12	6	4	2	+11	22
3	Leverkusen	12	6	3	3	+9	21
4	Stuttgart	13	6	3	4	+6	21
5	Wolfsburg	13	5	5	3	+6	20
6	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	4	3	+5	19
7	Dortmund	13	6	1	6	+4	19
8	Werder Bremen	13	4	5	4	-1	17
9	Union Berlin	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	Freiburg	12	4	3	5	-6	15
11	FC Koln	13	4	3	6	-12	15
12	M'gladbach	12	3	5	4	-3	14
13	Augsburg	12	4	2	6	-5	14
14	Hoffenheim	12	3	4	5	-7	13
15	Hertha	13	2	4	7	-6	10
16	Mainz	12	2	4	6	-11	10
17	Bielefeld	11	1	3	7	-14	6
18	Schalke 04	12	0	4	8	-32	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.