Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Parma
Genoa
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | +39 | 65 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | +19 | 56 |
| 3 |
Juventus
|
26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | +32 | 55 |
| 4 |
Atalanta
|
27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | +29 | 52 |
| 5 |
Napoli
|
26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | +27 | 50 |
| 6 |
Roma
|
27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | +11 | 50 |
| 7 |
Lazio
|
26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | +5 | 46 |
| 8 |
Sassuolo
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 39 |
| 9 |
Verona
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +4 | 38 |
| 10 |
Udinese
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 |
Sampdoria
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 |
Bologna
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -6 | 31 |
| 13 |
Fiorentina
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 |
Genoa
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 |
Spezia
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 |
Benevento
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -25 | 26 |
| 17 |
Torino
|
26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -10 | 23 |
| 18 |
Cagliari
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -16 | 22 |
| 19 |
Parma
|
27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -27 | 19 |
| 20 |
Crotone
|
27 | 4 | 3 | 20 | -37 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Bani
D
G. Pezzella
D
G. Brugman
M
D. Man
F
Coach: R. D'Aversa
M. Perin
G
D. Zappacosta
M
E. Shomurodov
F
Coach: D. Ballardini
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Parma
Roma
Fiorentina
Parma
Parma
Inter
Spezia
Parma
Parma
Udinese
D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.