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La Liga

Referee: Valentín Pizarro

Sevilla

U S U U U

1–1

Full-time

Valladolid

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 34%

45%

23%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

39%

29%

Both score Ø 50%

55%

45%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

75% Possession 25%

15 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 4. · Valladolid 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	31	21	5	5	+39	68
2	Real Madrid	31	20	8	3	+38	68
3	Ath Madrid	31	14	13	4	+17	55
4	Sevilla	31	14	11	6	+12	53
5	Getafe	31	13	10	8	+11	49
6	Villarreal	31	14	6	11	+9	48
7	Sociedad	31	14	5	12	+8	47
8	Valencia	31	12	10	9	-3	46
9	Granada	31	12	7	12	+1	43
10	Ath Bilbao	31	10	12	9	+6	42
11	Levante	31	11	5	15	-7	38
12	Osasuna	31	9	11	11	-10	38
13	Betis	31	9	10	12	-7	37
14	Alaves	31	9	8	14	-15	35
15	Valladolid	31	7	13	11	-10	34
16	Celta	31	7	12	12	-6	33
17	Eibar	31	8	8	15	-15	32
18	Mallorca	31	7	5	19	-23	26
19	Leganes	31	5	10	16	-21	25
20	Espanol	31	5	9	17	-24	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	15	1	0	+36	46
2	Real Madrid	16	12	4	0	+25	40
3	Valencia	16	9	7	0	+13	34
4	Ath Madrid	15	9	5	1	+12	32
5	Granada	15	9	2	4	+8	29
6	Ath Bilbao	15	8	4	3	+9	28
7	Betis	16	8	4	4	+7	28
8	Sociedad	16	8	3	5	+13	27
9	Getafe	16	7	6	3	+8	27
10	Sevilla	15	7	6	2	+8	27
11	Villarreal	15	7	5	3	+10	26
12	Alaves	16	7	5	4	+8	26
13	Levante	15	7	4	4	+6	25
14	Eibar	16	7	2	7	+0	23
15	Mallorca	16	6	3	7	-2	21
16	Celta	15	5	5	5	+3	20
17	Osasuna	15	5	5	5	-5	20
18	Valladolid	15	3	9	3	+1	18
19	Leganes	16	4	4	8	-7	16
20	Espanol	15	2	5	8	-12	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	8	4	3	+13	28
2	Sevilla	16	7	5	4	+4	26
3	Ath Madrid	16	5	8	3	+5	23
4	Barcelona	15	6	4	5	+3	22
5	Getafe	15	6	4	5	+3	22
6	Villarreal	16	7	1	8	-1	22
7	Sociedad	15	6	2	7	-5	20
8	Osasuna	16	4	6	6	-5	18
9	Valladolid	16	4	4	8	-11	16
10	Ath Bilbao	16	2	8	6	-3	14
11	Granada	16	3	5	8	-7	14
12	Celta	16	2	7	7	-9	13
13	Espanol	16	3	4	9	-12	13
14	Levante	16	4	1	11	-13	13
15	Valencia	15	3	3	9	-16	12
16	Betis	15	1	6	8	-14	9
17	Leganes	15	1	6	8	-14	9
18	Eibar	15	1	6	8	-15	9
19	Alaves	15	2	3	10	-23	9
20	Mallorca	15	1	2	12	-21	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.