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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Sevilla
S T S U S
1–0
Full-time
Valladolid
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,2
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
58%
33%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
58%
25%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 3. · Valladolid 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 13 7 4 2 +16 25
2 Ath Madrid 13 6 6 1 +8 24
3 Sevilla 12 7 2 3 +10 23
4 Alaves 13 7 2 4 +4 23
5 Espanol 12 6 3 3 +6 21
6 Real Madrid 13 6 2 5 +1 20
7 Levante 13 5 3 5 -1 18
8 Eibar 13 5 3 5 -3 18
9 Valencia 13 3 8 2 +2 17
10 Getafe 13 4 5 4 +1 17
11 Valladolid 12 4 5 3 +0 17
12 Girona 12 4 5 3 -1 17
13 Sociedad 12 4 4 4 +1 16
14 Betis 12 4 4 4 -3 16
15 Celta 12 3 5 4 +2 14
16 Leganes 13 3 4 6 -6 13
17 Villarreal 12 2 5 5 -2 11
18 Ath Bilbao 13 1 8 4 -6 11
19 Vallecano 13 1 4 8 -14 7
20 Huesca 13 1 4 8 -15 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Valladolid
21′
🟨 Antoñito
1–0 André Silva
Pablo Sarabia
30′
Sergio Escudero 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 E. Ünal
↦ Rubén Alcaraz
Daniel Carriço 🟨
64′
70′
🔁 D. Verde
↦ D. Čop
F. Vázquez 🔁
↦ É. Banega
73′
Aleix Vidal 🟨
81′
I. Amadou 🔁
↦ André Silva
82′
84′
🔁 L. Suárez
↦ Toni Suárez
87′
🟨 Borja
Q. Promes 🔁
↦ Pablo Sarabia
88′
89′
🟨 Joaquin Fernandez
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sevilla

3-4-1-2
1 T. Vaclík G
4 S. Kjær D
6 Daniel Carriço D
18 Sergio Escudero D
11 Aleix Vidal M
3 Sergi Gómez D
10 É. Banega M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
7 Roque Mesa M
9 W. Ben Yedder F
12 André Silva F
Bench (7)
22 F. Vázquez
5 I. Amadou
21 Q. Promes
13 Juan Soriano
14 L. Muriel
23 Guilherme Arana
25 G. Mercado

Coach: Pablo Machín

Valladolid

4-3-3
1 Jordi Masip G
18 Antoñito D
22 Nacho Martínez D
5 Fernando Calero D
8 Borja Fernández M
21 Míchel M
14 Rubén Alcaraz M
2 Joaquín Fernández D
19 Toni Suárez M
20 D. Čop F
10 Óscar Plano M
Bench (7)
9 E. Ünal
11 D. Verde
32 L. Suárez
6 Luismi Sánchez
13 Yoel
23 Anuar Tuhami
24 Keko

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.