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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Villarreal

T T S S S

2–2

Full-time

Sevilla

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 47%

47%

Points per game

1,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

67%

37%

Both score Ø 60%

67%

53%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%

7 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 8

2 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 7. · Sevilla 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	30	20	5	5	+38	65
2	Real Madrid	30	19	8	3	+36	65
3	Ath Madrid	30	13	13	4	+16	52
4	Sevilla	30	14	10	6	+12	52
5	Getafe	30	13	9	8	+11	48
6	Sociedad	30	14	5	11	+9	47
7	Villarreal	30	14	5	11	+9	47
8	Valencia	30	12	10	8	-2	46
9	Ath Bilbao	30	10	12	8	+7	42
10	Granada	30	12	6	12	+1	42
11	Levante	30	11	5	14	-6	38
12	Osasuna	30	8	11	11	-11	35
13	Alaves	30	9	8	13	-14	35
14	Betis	30	8	10	12	-8	34
15	Valladolid	30	7	12	11	-10	33
16	Celta	30	6	12	12	-7	30
17	Eibar	30	7	8	15	-16	29
18	Mallorca	30	7	5	18	-21	26
19	Leganes	30	5	9	16	-21	24
20	Espanol	30	5	9	16	-23	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	14	1	0	+35	43
2	Real Madrid	15	11	4	0	+23	37
3	Valencia	16	9	7	0	+13	34
4	Ath Madrid	15	9	5	1	+12	32
5	Granada	15	9	2	4	+8	29
6	Ath Bilbao	15	8	4	3	+9	28
7	Sociedad	15	8	3	4	+14	27
8	Getafe	16	7	6	3	+8	27
9	Sevilla	15	7	6	2	+8	27
10	Alaves	15	7	5	3	+9	26
11	Villarreal	14	7	4	3	+10	25
12	Levante	14	7	4	3	+7	25
13	Betis	15	7	4	4	+6	25
14	Mallorca	16	6	3	7	-2	21
15	Celta	15	5	5	5	+3	20
16	Eibar	15	6	2	7	-1	20
17	Osasuna	15	5	5	5	-5	20
18	Valladolid	14	3	8	3	+1	17
19	Leganes	15	4	3	8	-7	15
20	Espanol	15	2	5	8	-12	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	8	4	3	+13	28
2	Sevilla	15	7	4	4	+4	25
3	Barcelona	15	6	4	5	+3	22
4	Villarreal	16	7	1	8	-1	22
5	Getafe	14	6	3	5	+3	21
6	Ath Madrid	15	4	8	3	+4	20
7	Sociedad	15	6	2	7	-5	20
8	Valladolid	16	4	4	8	-11	16
9	Osasuna	15	3	6	6	-6	15
10	Ath Bilbao	15	2	8	5	-2	14
11	Granada	15	3	4	8	-7	13
12	Espanol	15	3	4	8	-11	13
13	Levante	16	4	1	11	-13	13
14	Valencia	14	3	3	8	-15	12
15	Celta	15	1	7	7	-10	10
16	Betis	15	1	6	8	-14	9
17	Leganes	15	1	6	8	-14	9
18	Eibar	15	1	6	8	-15	9
19	Alaves	15	2	3	10	-23	9
20	Mallorca	14	1	2	11	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.